Feeling lucky, punk?

So, you think you're unlucky? Maybe the opposite?

Given the fantastic games I've won, I have always felt lucky on Steamgifts, but statistically? Hard to tell. With different numbers of entrants for each giveaway, and multiple games sometimes appearing in a single giveaway, who knows?

Well, as a filler during the "procrastination" stage of my afternoon I've put together an ugly (but hopefully effective) little spreadsheet to give you a DEFINITIVE answer!

It requires a little patience, since you DO have to copy and paste each of your Steamgifts Entries pages in to the sheet. Took me a little under 12 minutes for mine (100+ pages), but I did discover that in terms of games won vs % chance of winning, I'm 19.23% luckier than the odds would suggest... Over a reasonably large sample of 2,800 giveaways (less a few, since some of these haven't ended, so aren't included in the calculation), that's significantly lucky. YAY!

The % figure won't work if you don't have any wins, but the spreadsheet will at least show you the number of games you might expect to have won, based on the odds.

Available here:

http://www.fileswap.com/dl/TcLBxy4Jj4/

or here:

http://www.sendspace.com/file/p6tpvd

^^^ For those concerned, it's a macro-free Excel file. You won't catch a virus, unseemly warts in unusual places, or cooties from this. It's safer than a pack of safety matches, safety pinned to a Safe-Seal(TM)-sealed Safeway bag, safely locked away within a safe in a safe-house.

Click on the "Click here to start download from sendspace" halfway down the screen, not on the other crap :) If it starts talking about iLivid, you've gone wrong somewhere!

Excel file contains instructions for use. It's really not that complicated though :)

Hope this is of use to someone!

If something isn't clear, or you spot any glaring errors, please let me know.