Statistically Unlucky - a private group for those who have bad luck, that is people who are well below their estimated wins.


We have 13 open slots right now.

Write here if you're interested (including your won/estimated ratio in your comment).


Requirements to join:

  • You must have $50 or more contribution, and be unlucky enough:

    • 0-20 wins, but are 5 or more below your estimated
    • 21-40 wins, but are 6 or more below your estimated
    • 41-60 wins, but are 7 or more below your estimated
    • 8 or more below your estimate wins
  • ...and be a decent person, with no outstanding issues with SG or STEAM.


Giveaway Requirements:

I want to be very upfront about what is expected. You will need to create a giveaway...

  • When you join (to rule out leechers)
  • When you win a giveaway (within 7 days)

FAQ from the previous threads:

  • The reason for the number of wins instead of a percent is that it's easy to see if a person qualifies.
  • The reason it's fairly high is so that we are not constantly asking people to leave when they get above their EW.
  • The entrance requirements are different that the staying in the group requirements.
  • You'll only be asked to leave if your wins exceed your estimate (has happened already) or you break rules.
11 years ago*

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Can i join please ? Or i'm not to lucky to join ? :)))

11 years ago
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You are too lucky, and your contribution isn't enough.

11 years ago
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What about now? 5:11 :)

11 years ago
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Okay, invite sent.

11 years ago
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Haha, I took a look at my profile page today and it reminded me of this thread/group.
Gifts Won 39
Estimated Wins 45.47
Off by 6.47, so I'd fall into the 2nd category now :P

11 years ago
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:) Invite sent.

11 years ago
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Thanks. Posting entry giveaways in a moment.

11 years ago
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I'll join if there is still a spot open!

11 years ago
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Um...you appear to be the opposite of qualified :P

11 years ago
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Yeah...

11 years ago
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Is there still room?

11 years ago
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Yes, invite sent.

11 years ago
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I volunteer as tribute! Won nothing, with a 1.6 estimated win ration. Already have a few things in my inventory ready to give away.

11 years ago
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Sorry, not unlucky enough, check back later.

11 years ago
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can i join ?

11 years ago
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Sorry, you are too lucky.

11 years ago
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Hello ) I would like to join.

11 years ago
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Sorry, you are too lucky.

11 years ago
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i think those developer giveaways i won are screwing me here

11 years ago
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Yeah... Check back later. ;)

11 years ago
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I'm statistically unlucky I guess, 16 wins with 23.81 estimated. How soon would I have to make a giveaway within joining though?

11 years ago
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Couple days.

11 years ago
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I wouldn't be able to do a giveaway that soon unless it was one of my spare bundle games...Would giving away a bundle game on entry be acceptable? I'd be able to obey the retail rule upon winning.

11 years ago
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Invite sent, plus a chat request so we can talk. ;)

11 years ago
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I accepted the invite, but never got the chat request, so I'm just sorta hanging round in the group chat.

11 years ago
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I'm about 3,5 below my estimated wins.I'd like to have an invite if you guys need another member.Or I can always wait for being 5 below estimated, I'm not gonna win anything :)

11 years ago
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Check back later. ;)

11 years ago
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I got some real bad luck >_<

Gifts Won 27
Estimated Wins 38.75

if you still got a spot open I would love to join

11 years ago
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Invite sent. You got the last spot. :)

11 years ago
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Just read about your group today, so I just want to ask a question.
I joined SG in January, entered about 2100 Giveaways until now, gave away $77 worth of gifts and the only game I ever won was Galactic Arms Race with a near 100% winning chance. So I consider myself somewhat unlucky. Despite that, my estimated wins are only 2.79 - way below the requirements for this group. I saw others with about twice as many entered giveaways and about 100 wins, but their estimated wins were about 120, so they would be allowed into this group. So here is my question: Does anyone know how the "estimated wins"-value is calculated and how to increase this value ?

Thanks for your help in advance.

11 years ago
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If you enter giveaways with fewer entries and you 'lose', it's gonna go up faster. If you enter a GA with you and somebody else, you get 0.5. if you enter one with 10 people, you get 0.1, i you enter one with 100 people, you get 0.01. If you enter a 15000 copy GA with 15001 people, and you're the one who lose, you estimated will go up with 0.99. I hope I was clear.

Actually, I never won a developer giveaway in my life, that's why my estimated is so high compared to my wins.

11 years ago
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Post a giveaway before AND after winning?
WOW!

detaches mouth
and slithers away

11 years ago
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Not really... One after entering, and one after winning. Not the same as your interpretation.

11 years ago
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i'd like to join if there is still a slot open :)

11 years ago
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Sorry, a little too much win, check back later.

11 years ago
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nah i'm still unlucky :D

  • Gifts Won 6
  • Estimated Wins 11.12
11 years ago
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I've sent an invite.

11 years ago
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i was lucky enough and just decided to leave the group, that will open an extra spot for someone in need ^_^ see you all!

11 years ago
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Nice group I'll postulate when I improve my financial situation :)

11 years ago
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i'd like to join if there are still slots open
edit: posted here and an hour later i won ;-)

11 years ago
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Check back later. ;)

11 years ago
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i hope i would no join this group because on my records

11 years ago
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Sorry, you don't qualify.

11 years ago
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May I join? My body is ready! Also statically unlucky ;S "8.+" spread in estimated wins.

11 years ago
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I've sent an invite.

11 years ago
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THanks! <3

11 years ago
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Please invite me in this group. Thanks.

11 years ago
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You should read the requirements to join...

11 years ago
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No, sorry.

11 years ago
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I'd like to join.

13 wins, 18.99 estimated (So close to 19! Dx)

11 years ago
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You became lucky as I see. ;)

11 years ago
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Heh, yeah. I've got 2 more wins that I'm waiting to get, so it will be 32 won, 33.27 estimated xD

11 years ago
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I'm at 40 wins, 47 estimate. Invite please :)? I got a few things I can giveaway.

11 years ago
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I've sent an invite.

11 years ago
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Once upon a time, you guys invited me into your group. I decided to decline because I was afraid of being spread too thin by being in too many groups requiring giveaways. My old group (Cherry Poppers), however, is now no more, and so I am looking for a new Q2bAD. Also, the recent rules changes you folks have made have resulted in your group being more attractive. That being so, I would now like to re-apply for membership. Since my previous invite is still pending, I have only to click on the button, but I'm waiting for permission from the Mods.

There is one thing I ask, however. Since I just had a giveaway end, this morning, I would like a little time to get ready for my "introductory giveaway." I don't give bundles, so I need some time to get the money/giveaway together. Please let me know if that's OK with you.

1600 Giveaways Entered
0 Giveaways Won
8.36 Estimated Wins
$200+ Contribution Value

11 years ago
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I decided to remove my apply post, to give priority to Khalaq.

Good luck Khalaq! ^_^

11 years ago
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heh... Thanks. )

11 years ago
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Khalaq is already in, so I've sent an invite to you, too. Join if you want. ;)

11 years ago
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Thanks for the invitation. I wasn't sure to accept it, because when I posted my apply I had won just 1 giveaway, but last week I won 2 giveaways (those odds! :P), making a total of 3, so I don't consider myself so unlucky anymore. Although I still have 5 or more below my estimated, I guess I can give it a shot and try it :)

11 years ago
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It can't hurt. D

11 years ago
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Can I join? :)
I have only 30$ but i giveaway 50$ ... Thanks steamgift bug!

11 years ago
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You have more wins than your EW, and that $30 issue is not a glitch, you have given more bundle games, that's why:

http://www.steamgifts.com/bundles/list

11 years ago
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I guess, your question has been answered. Sorry.

11 years ago
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Closed 10 years ago by Lalee88.