This is the end? My Only Friend? The End?
He's probably right honestly, just not 100% sure on the timeframe due to infrastructure.
In the same way that digital started to overtake physical and how we came to largely accept account-bound games, people would eventually be fine with a wee bit of lag. And cloud gaming makes sense as the next step in terms of distribution, since if you have a fast enough internet connection that you can play the games fine, it's the same as digital sans the download and need for worry about disk space or ageing hardware.
There's nothing wrong with the concept in itself, but I am pretty weary of how big companies will implement the system, since it can be abused much more easily than digital sales from the sellers side.
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I don't think it's inevitable (we've seen plenty of technologies that seemed inevitable, and didn't take. Like 3D TVs, VR sets, 3D games, AR smartphones, etc.) but I do think it's possible. And many people are betting on it to happen.
I do feel they would need Technology, Product and Market figured out for it to work.
Technologically:
Product-wise:
Market-wise:
People need to be willing to jump over to this new way of gaming. Most people are accustomed to certain things and don't like changes. So even if everything else works perfectly, it will still take time for them to switch (especially in the beginning, where not everything will be there, and not everything will be perfect.). So there must be a large-enough group of early adopters, that will like the product and recommend it to their friends, for it to actually work.
I think the concerns people here have are unfounded, this technology cannot be forced upon us.
If Microsoft decide to force everyone use some inferior cloud-based product to be able to play their games - sure some people are fanatics and go for it (because they HAVE TO play a certain game, or Microsoft fans), but most will say "fuck it" and just play a different game. And it won't be anything more than a gimmick.
Only when someone will do it right, will he become the Steam (or the Netflix) of the game streaming world.
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Clickbait title I know. But for me this stuff is real Nightmare Fuel
Ubisoft CEO: Cloud gaming will replace consoles after the next generation
"I think we will see another generation, but there is a good chance that step-by-step we will see less and less hardware," Guillemot said in a recent interview with Variety. "With time, I think streaming will become more accessible to many players and make it not necessary to have big hardware at home. There will be one more console generation and then after that, we will be streaming, all of us."
https://arstechnica.com/gaming/2018/06/ubisoft-ceo-cloud-gaming-will-replace-consoles-after-the-next-generation/
Please see this video also, to advance the discussion. It is long, but everything pointed there is totally valid.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tS9vvF1V1Dc
One of the critics on the streaming thingy is that players will never tolerate the lag, so there is nothing to worry about. I want to add this comment from the video. I think that hits the nail right on the head:
Gamers will accept higher latency if it's forced on them, so streaming has no trouble on that front. I still remember how every single e-sport organization complained about Starcraft 2 not having multiplayer via LAN during beta and launch (2010). Latency from playing on a server is very noticeable for professional RTS players and major Starcraft BroodWar tournaments in Korea had used LAN for a decade, but Starcraft 2 still released with no LAN for piracy concerns. Players and organizations kept asking for LAN for the first few years, but eventually adapted and accepted the inferior product around the first expansion in 2013.
If you can force higher latency on the Korean Starcraft e-sport scene with professional, televised matches from 1999 onwards, you can certainly force it on the average gamer.
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