It's due to the Law of large numbers.
Basically, the more giveaways you enter, the more chance to win you have.
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How "luck" works on this site? My last win was more than 3 weeks ago, and it was group GA. Since then I give away about 40 games, but luck in "My Stats" still too low, about 0-1 percents per day. Today I'm looked in Stats and saw that my chances totally increased up to 36% for May,22, but now it again drop to 3%. And since April,26 (my last win) my chances only down. I know guy here that gifts about 80 games and win 700 games, and he win everyday, sometimes 3-4 games per day, even in public GA's. How it works?
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