Can I see your SG charts?

More like I ordered a cat in restaurant and it tasted bad.

What is wrong with my wall? Rollercoasters makes me sick

I meant desktop, most browsers should have this feature...I think?

Tools like ShareX can do this automatically.

thank you!

No, I deleted my own comment.
Saw there was a reply yet none visible in the feed, came back here and saw my comment was deleted and the timer was running out.

Most of my wins are pre level 4 era, my last win from level 7 which was two years ago. Can't be coincidence.

Nope it's not punishable you can exploit it all you want. I was just explaining why his luck stat shows him getting about 53 more than the average, because most people don't make groups to trade games like these, or they go to the trading version of this site to swap games. But there are some whales here and if you inspect them, you'll see they pretty much all follow this exact same method.

actually no, that wouldn't work. you need at least 5 entries for invite-only and group giveaways to count towards your cv.
per the faq:

If a giveaway is invite only, region restricted, or limited to a whitelist or Steam group, it will only add contributor value if it receives 5 or more entries. This is in place to prevent small groups of friends from attempting to cheat the contributor system, and to encourage users to expand the reach of their giveaways. The whitelist feature offers an easy way to target a larger audience, and you can combine it with small Steam groups to receive a greater number of giveaway entries if needed.

It wasn't about probability current chance which should work as you described, so if he enters a giveaway as the only person it's 100%, it was about 53 more than average, as the gifts are coming from such groups, so since someone was surprised he won 53 more than the average, then the average user doesn't get in private groups to trade games in between 5 -6 people, so I just explained what the difference is. You could test it right now, make a group with your 5 friends, and just trade the games between each of you. Technically all you need is one friend so you could do this in a group of two, but you need 5 entries to also farm cv. You'll notice your expected gifts won is going to be above the average after a while, especially at around 2.6k won, for the reasons I listed.

I guess one thing I said that I meant to say differently, is CG should've put a much harsher limit on what counts towards these stats, groups or invite only giveaways. 5 entries for CV is not enough to say this is realistic data, and wins from 1 single entry shouldn't count toward average wins since the chances that these happen more than once without someone being in one of these groups are next to none. If these groups or invite only giveaways manage 50+ entries then imo they should be counted towards stats, otherwise not. It wouldn't affect them still winning and trading games, but it wouldn't create misleading data as such.

As for "Trading via SteamGifts makes no sense since the one entry giveaways don't give you any benefits.", this is true, but 5 entries does. So not saying all the games he won are 1 entry only I think I already said this above, but I'm saying it's a very small group that does this with with plenty with just around 5, 6, 8 entries, which allows them to also increase their cv. At the same time, they double dip in public giveaways. They also mostly only make private on invite only giveaways, so I consider them to not participate, but I consider these people leechers, despite you saying they want to give in private groups so their games don't go to leechers.

Sorry for my bad english.

Because SG incorrectly calculates the chance of winning. Because of this, the number of “extra” winnings is also calculated incorrectly.
Example. If you entered 10 GAs for different games with 10 participants each, then SG will be calculated your chance of winning with 100% (1/10 * 10). While it will be "only" 65.13% (1 - 0.9^10), where 0.9 is the chance of losing, ^10 is the number of GA.
With a smaller number of participants, the probability of winning will tend to one, but it will only tend. In theory, you should have a 100% chance of win only for GA with one participant - you.
Exactly the same with “extra” winnings. Won in a GA for 10 participants +0.9 to "extra" games, lost in such a GA -0.1 to “extra” winnings.

у меня и когда я в куче закрытых групп состоял

Only understood this as "I was in a bunch of private groups."

that was golden era of bundles. I think about is as investment. Maybe after 20 years if there still steam exist Ill sell it to some arabian sheikh 😆😆

pretty much. I stopped for a long time because I felt I gained enough and was entering for things I shouldn't while also not giving back enough to balance it. So I stopped, and went off doing whatever, mostly getting humble bundle keys until I joined a community train to dump them.

Which is more or less the pattern maintained now.

That is very kind of you. I will remember it and also Whitelisted you. :)

I've seen 100 key giveaways and so on, but 50,000??? I am speechless. You have to somehow paste those keys inside the damn box, how will they all fit??? This is why the perpetual CV system was implemented that for every additional copy you get less and less CV. Very educational comment!

Thanks for the recommendation, I will!

Well, the beginning is really intriguing. It's a little hard to follow the dialogue because of all Japanese names, but it's pretty cool! And it gets more and more interesting with each episode, even though I'm not really a fan of the historical Japanese setting.