I would like to see peoples' community statistic charts. I am a sucker for numbers and I was interested how a years worth of SteamGifts charts look like. Snap a picture and send it here if you wish. Any charts work, if you are an active gifter I'd love to see your contributor level charts, but any other will also do. Probability of winning per day chart could be interesting too with you highlighting the highest percentage. If this is a little preach of privacy for people then no pressure, you don't have to send in your charts, this isn't a job application :)

Side note: From now on we will all call nice and steady lines 'rollercoasters' as per this rollercoaster.

Link to community stats for ease of access here.

2 months ago*

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Choose wisely. (optional)

View Results
Gibson Les Paul Standard 60s Figured Top, Blueberry Burst Electric Guitar
CATIGA Scientific Calculator with Graphic Functions
One copy of every single Howard Phillips Lovecraft book ever written
One DVD copy of every single Jason Bourne movie
200 Watt Monocrystalline Solar Panel with dimensions 58.7 x 26.8 x 1.4 in
Chocolate donut
A sick ass cowboy brown fedora
Spend one night with Wayne Campbell and Garth Algar anywhere in the world
2 Strawberry donuts
Loyal German Shepherd
2 months ago
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I'm sorry, is there a native dark mode or are you using a browser extension?

2 months ago
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Dark Reader browser extension dark mode was requested many times but how I fathom cg will never happen.

2 months ago
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Hmmm, just tried Dark Reader and it just made the text boxes black. Dark mode eludes me again.

2 months ago
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Try adding your own CSS/JS rules to the site using Firefox's Greasemonkey add-on. You can make anything dark mode that way. I'm sure it's how Dark Reader works.

2 months ago
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Thanks, this at least pushed me in the right direction. Grabbed Stylus extension which lets me edit CSS on the fly.

2 months ago
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I love how everything spikes up in the middle of 2020 and 2021, satisfactory.

2 months ago
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Well, I wasn't really active before just dumped a few keys here and there to test the waters.

2 months ago
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I can see that, I love that everything has been on a steady rise and keeps going higher and higher.

2 months ago
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2 months ago
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The line fighting for its life and then bwomp

2 months ago
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indeed!

2 months ago
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your commentary on these is hilarious lol

2 months ago
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Wasn't my intention but glad I could get a chuckle or 2

2 months ago
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what happened in dec carlo? 😭

2 months ago
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I guess RNG hated me in December :D

2 months ago
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2 months ago
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luck depends on what???

2 months ago
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chance..?

2 months ago
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yeah, you can't manipulate luck

2 months ago
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lol what were you upto in Jan? BL stonks!

2 months ago
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Stability in an image

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2 months ago
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I like how the WL and BL are growing at a similar rate.👏

2 months ago*
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Working on getting red line over blue. I even made two threads with name "I hate cats" and can't gap them.

2 months ago
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Hmm must up the hate ante.
Future potential titles:
Kittens are gross🤢
I stole tuna from a cat and i loved it

Edit: LOL

2 months ago*
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More like I ordered a cat in restaurant and it tasted bad.

2 months ago
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ALF with his longing for freshly pressed cat juice was rather popular and well-loved though.

2 months ago
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Try to make a wall like this one
https://www.steamgifts.com/go/comment/GOPLVrV

2 months ago
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What is wrong with my wall? Rollercoasters makes me sick

2 months ago
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That's not a wall, that's a uhh... Speed bump.

2 months ago
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Works as intended then, you should slow down.

2 months ago
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Dang, that hurt, I need an ambulance.

2 months ago
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You guys haven't seen a wall? https://prnt.sc/7tpStgG9zSfD

2 months ago
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I fell off the internet from like 2016-2023

View attached image.
2 months ago
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How do you get all the data on one picture? I would have to scroll and photograph each statistic individually... I'm just old

2 months ago
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Click those 3 dots on the top right of your screen and look down a bit and zoom out into space.

2 months ago
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Ok, I think you think I'm using a mobile. Sitting at my PC, I can't find any dots

2 months ago
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I meant desktop, most browsers should have this feature...I think?

2 months ago
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no dots... lines are mine.

Let's see if that works

2 months ago
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Greenshot + GIMP. Yes, I took a screenshot of each stat individually and just put them altogether in one image.

2 months ago
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Just a tad bit too much effort but I like the rollercoasters 😁

2 months ago
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Tools like ShareX can do this automatically.

2 months ago
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You can use Firefox's screenshot tool too, it's pretty hefty.

2 months ago
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thank you!

2 months ago
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No problem :)

2 months ago
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There are extensions like GoFullPage.

2 months ago
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Thanks you :-)

2 months ago
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Rollercoaster

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2 months ago
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Have won more than enough, I wont even mind being unlucky for months!

My fav graph is the Comments per month!
As the months with the downward trends were the most productive ones IRL (except Oct.). Coincidence?😅

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2 months ago*
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2 months ago
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That won graph is curvy holy moly, 647 games won, WOW

2 months ago
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Shit happens if you stay long enough. And contribute. ;)

2 months ago
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2 months ago
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No picture necessary, I've basically got 2 flat lines at 0 :D

2 months ago
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Shed a tear for that one... 😭

2 months ago
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Sry, misclicking shenanigans.
I've undone the deletion for posterity's sake
:D

2 months ago
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Hm, you mean the deleted comment? That was me, accidents happen.

2 months ago
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No, I deleted my own comment.
Saw there was a reply yet none visible in the feed, came back here and saw my comment was deleted and the timer was running out.

2 months ago
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Glad I can have this hilarious comment under my discussion, also partially sad comment.

2 months ago
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Ye ask, and ye shall recieve.... my luck rollercoaster.

View attached image.
2 months ago
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You experienced some turbulence at the end there, lots of ups and downs 😀

2 months ago
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2 months ago
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Win incoming!

2 months ago
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2 months ago
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2 months ago
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2 months ago
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2 months ago
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These are the most jinxed stats

2 months ago
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LOL yes, Unlucky since September 3, 2019 6:49 am

2 months ago
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Had a little bit of trouble there but glad I can see those lines :D

2 months ago
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Oh yes, I was struggling with the formatting

2 months ago
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2 months ago
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So once you reach level 10 it's basically game over and you get these 100% win rate giveaways and you beat the game? Charity bonus? Good god how bumpy that win rate mountain is, would NOT go hiking there.

2 months ago
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I feel like it works otherwise, the higher level, the lower chances.

2 months ago
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How so? Could you perchance elaborate? As you seem to be painfully close to level 10, you ought to know something I don't.

2 months ago
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Most of my wins are pre level 4 era, my last win from level 7 which was two years ago. Can't be coincidence.

2 months ago
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I've been eyeing higher level giveaways for a month or so now and they don't have many entries, how come you win less these days? Looking at your community statistics (which you unreluctantly and very coincidentally provided) shows that you entered on average 4 times more giveaways before level 4 than in your later years. Seems you've entered fewer and fewer giveaways. Maybe if you pushed those numbers a little harder you'd win a lot more, but if you don't want to that's completely fine too. I believe that is the explanation you needed to your year old little mystery.

2 months ago
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CG disabled winning chances from higher users, so he gets all games.

2 months ago
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No kidding?

2 months ago
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I would never

2 months ago
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If that is true, my apologies.

2 months ago
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Of course it is. Why do you think so many people stay at level 0?

2 months ago
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So what you are saying is the higher contributor level I reach the more 'games' (tax) CG takes?

2 months ago
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that is exactly how site works

2 months ago
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DREADFUL!!!

2 months ago
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That's not how it works, across 477 level 10 users, there's only been around 8k giveaways, that's about 16 games per person at level 10.
https://www.steamgifts.com/stats/community/giveaways
https://www.steamgifts.com/stats/community/users

I explained the users way underneath, but tldr it just has to do with joining a private group with your friend and trading games between each other. Assuming you can get a few people in on this, you can even farm cv. It's more of an exploit than something to do with the level.

2 months ago
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Alright then, is something like making an invite-only giveaway and sharing it with a single person not allowed then? Like is CV 'farming' something to get punished for?

2 months ago
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Nope it's not punishable you can exploit it all you want. I was just explaining why his luck stat shows him getting about 53 more than the average, because most people don't make groups to trade games like these, or they go to the trading version of this site to swap games. But there are some whales here and if you inspect them, you'll see they pretty much all follow this exact same method.

2 months ago
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Awesome, thanks for the heads up.

2 months ago*
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actually no, that wouldn't work. you need at least 5 entries for invite-only and group giveaways to count towards your cv.
per the faq:

If a giveaway is invite only, region restricted, or limited to a whitelist or Steam group, it will only add contributor value if it receives 5 or more entries. This is in place to prevent small groups of friends from attempting to cheat the contributor system, and to encourage users to expand the reach of their giveaways. The whitelist feature offers an easy way to target a larger audience, and you can combine it with small Steam groups to receive a greater number of giveaway entries if needed.

2 months ago
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I was informed of this, thank you for your input.

2 months ago
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53 more gifts? wtf?)

2 months ago
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i didnt even see that the first time O.O

2 months ago
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If this confuses you, it's simply because the user is in a bunch of private groups where game trading happens technically, rather than gifting. If you look at his wins and gifted games, you'll notice a ton of very few entries, sometimes 1, so instant wins for him. Compared to the average of the site, someone using this mechanic will of course "win" more games. Unfortunately I think at more than 5 entries it counts for the level, so the user gets to do double dipping as well by leveling up doing this, and also winning public giveaways.

Group/invite only giveaways should've never given cv or counted for stats for this reason imo but I see why CG isn't stopping this knowing that some people will use this site for trading, despite the rules technically not standing for it and that would affect it's population.

2 months ago
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I don't think that it works like that. The probability of winning should be calculated from the number of participants. So if there is only one entry, it shouldn't affect the luck per month. Trading via SteamGifts makes no sense since the one entry giveaways don't give you any benefits.

Group and whitelist giveaways are ok. If you don't want to give something valuable to bots or leechers or to wait 7 days for activation — it's a good way to avoid that. There are a lot of great groups that have common interests or purposes, like helping unlucky people, giving back to those, who contribute a lot, or sharing games only with those who playing them.

2 months ago
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It wasn't about probability current chance which should work as you described, so if he enters a giveaway as the only person it's 100%, it was about 53 more than average, as the gifts are coming from such groups, so since someone was surprised he won 53 more than the average, then the average user doesn't get in private groups to trade games in between 5 -6 people, so I just explained what the difference is. You could test it right now, make a group with your 5 friends, and just trade the games between each of you. Technically all you need is one friend so you could do this in a group of two, but you need 5 entries to also farm cv. You'll notice your expected gifts won is going to be above the average after a while, especially at around 2.6k won, for the reasons I listed.

I guess one thing I said that I meant to say differently, is CG should've put a much harsher limit on what counts towards these stats, groups or invite only giveaways. 5 entries for CV is not enough to say this is realistic data, and wins from 1 single entry shouldn't count toward average wins since the chances that these happen more than once without someone being in one of these groups are next to none. If these groups or invite only giveaways manage 50+ entries then imo they should be counted towards stats, otherwise not. It wouldn't affect them still winning and trading games, but it wouldn't create misleading data as such.

As for "Trading via SteamGifts makes no sense since the one entry giveaways don't give you any benefits.", this is true, but 5 entries does. So not saying all the games he won are 1 entry only I think I already said this above, but I'm saying it's a very small group that does this with with plenty with just around 5, 6, 8 entries, which allows them to also increase their cv. At the same time, they double dip in public giveaways. They also mostly only make private on invite only giveaways, so I consider them to not participate, but I consider these people leechers, despite you saying they want to give in private groups so their games don't go to leechers.

2 months ago*
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Well, ok, thanks for explanation. I still don't completely grasps how it works, but I guess it really have something to do with private GAs and small number of entries then.

2 months ago*
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Всё потому что SG неправильно считает вероятность выигрыша. Из-за этого неверно рассчитывается количество "лишних" выигрышей.
Пример. Если ты вступил в 10 раздач разных игр по 10 участников каждый, то на SG тебе нарисуют шанс выигрыша в 100%. В то время как он составит 65,13% (1 - 0,9^10), где 0,9 - шанс проиграть, ^10 - количество раздач. При меньшем количество участников вероятность выигрыша будет стремиться к единице, но только будет. По идее 100% шанс тебе должны рисовать только для раздач с одним участником - тобой.
Точно также с "лишними" выигрышами. Выиграл в раздаче на десять участников +0,9 к лишним играм, проиграл в такой раздаче -0,1 к "лишним" выигрышам.
Как-то так.

2 months ago*
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Is it bad that I only really understood 'Something like that' and nothing else?

2 months ago
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Sorry for my bad english.

Because SG incorrectly calculates the chance of winning. Because of this, the number of “extra” winnings is also calculated incorrectly.
Example. If you entered 10 GAs for different games with 10 participants each, then SG will be calculated your chance of winning with 100% (1/10 * 10). While it will be "only" 65.13% (1 - 0.9^10), where 0.9 is the chance of losing, ^10 is the number of GA.
With a smaller number of participants, the probability of winning will tend to one, but it will only tend. In theory, you should have a 100% chance of win only for GA with one participant - you.
Exactly the same with “extra” winnings. Won in a GA for 10 participants +0.9 to "extra" games, lost in such a GA -0.1 to “extra” winnings.

2 months ago*
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Alright, not that good at russian yet so I don't really understand anything, I appreciate the translation.

2 months ago
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Хм, все равно что-то тут не так) Если ты не выигрываешь при неправильно посчитанном шансе в 100% — должно же в минус уходить? Типа все равно +- в районе нуля (у меня и когда я в куче закрытых групп состоял, вступая во все раздачи подряд, был минус по статам)

2 months ago
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у меня и когда я в куче закрытых групп состоял

Only understood this as "I was in a bunch of private groups."

2 months ago
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You can just use DeepL or other translators)

"Hmm, there is still something wrong) If you don't win with a miscalculated chance of 100% - it should be minus one, right? Like, it should be +- around zero (I had a minus in stats even when I was in a bunch of closed groups, joining all the giveaways without picking only good games)"

2 months ago
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The amount of pictures in light mode here is bothering me

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2 months ago*
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Some people in their moms basement need a light source of some kind y'know?

2 months ago
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What dark mode extension do you use? I've tried a few and they have all been terrible for me.

2 months ago
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I'm using SGv2 Dark.

2 months ago
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Thanks I'll check that out.

2 months ago
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2 months ago
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2 months ago*
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Lucky, lucky you! Good god your comments had a heart attack over the years...

2 months ago
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I have almost 9000 games +1 and 22000 all games. So there is less option to join giveaways. Sometimes there is no giveaway I can join, Im all in infor whole 4 weeks. And I check it everyday.

2 months ago
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That is absolutely insane. I would call you insane but I've seen people with a lot more games, about 15,000 and that is LITERALLY almost 1/5 of ALL the Steam games on the Steam store. You still own roughly 7% of all the Steam games and that is brutal, feral and VICIOUS.

2 months ago
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that was golden era of bundles. I think about is as investment. Maybe after 20 years if there still steam exist Ill sell it to some arabian sheikh 😆😆

2 months ago
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2 months ago
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That spike in giveaways entered per month is crazy, out of the blue just spoofed in to the SteamGifts scene like the wind.

2 months ago
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2 months ago
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Most consistent luck per month yet still deemed 'unlucky'

2 months ago
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Perhaps this is because when I entered everywhere I could, I once won about ~30 keys in a day.
Now I enter only wishlisted game ga's that I'll play, so luck dropped drastically.

2 months ago
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30 keys in a day? That's ridiculous, I haven't even redeemed 30 keys altogether in my life.

2 months ago
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2 months ago
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2017 until 2021 was a desert. Only one scream halfway through 2020. Very unsettling statistic.

2 months ago
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While I can't say what the comment was, I tend to not comment a lot regardless. It's possible that it was a simple cake day for Steamgifts comment as it occurred in June.

2 months ago
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3 years of silence and out of the blue "Happy cakeday!" and disappears into the abyss for another year and comes back. Bizarre 🙄

2 months ago
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pretty much. I stopped for a long time because I felt I gained enough and was entering for things I shouldn't while also not giving back enough to balance it. So I stopped, and went off doing whatever, mostly getting humble bundle keys until I joined a community train to dump them.

Which is more or less the pattern maintained now.

2 months ago
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It's good to be noble but it isn't bad not to be. Giving is giving and it's well appreciated, at least I appreciate it. I'll try to give more back to the community as well but with my current income I won't be able to, but someday.

2 months ago
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It's no pressure or hurry. That was just my own particular path. I like a balance and when it got too far out of wack, I needed to step back. Plus, it's not like I didn't have other things to play so it was no harm. Things were also different back then as well, with cheaper entry points on most humble bundles (the fabled $1 tier).

Amazon gift cards could be earned from various sites and actually used to buy digital games. They no longer allow gift cards on digital only items like Steam codes.

So you're not earning points in the same kind of era as I did, but there's plenty of giveaways that don't discriminate much as long as you reached level 1, so that's honestly quite enough.

2 months ago
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People keep talking about the good old days and I am so jealous I couldn't be apart of it. I want to reach level 3 or level 4 in the future at some point, just for the sake of giving.

2 months ago
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haha, it happens with many things. Origin (EA) once gave out frequent games. Uplay (Ubisoft) once did. There will probably be some point where Epic Games finally stops but I do have to give them props for lasting the longest.

But there continue to be good opportunities for free/reduced things in the future so don't sweat it. If there is one downside, it's dreaded 0 CV factor that can occur just because a game was given away freely once. But that only affects a small portion of giveaways anyway.

2 months ago
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It's going to be dreadful to give away like RoboCop today and then 2 decades later get your CV for that game reduced to 0 because it was free on Epic games Store for 24 hours.

2 months ago
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oh well that part I may have misrepresented in my comment. They at least have to be Steam key giveaways to count. That's one solace haha.

So the recent Dead Island Riptide giveaway on Steam won't take away from someone who bought a key.

But when Homefront was given away on Humble 6 years ago, it's 0 CV for life because some people may hold onto keys that long. Which there's no harm in giving away a 0 CV game, I just wouldn't buy a fresh copy of one.

2 months ago
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I was misleading with that one too, I know you can't give away Steam giveaways and they have to be either Steam keys or gifts or just gifting a game to an individual. I also know that if you have a game key and the game gets given away on another platform for free that doesn't count either.

2 months ago
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I can't believe how many of you actually won something. Someone even got a nearly balanced gifted/won ratio. Seems like I am really missing luck. :D

2 months ago
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Has nobody done a statistic discussion like this before? Seems like people see this for the first time. People seem to win pretty often from what I see, on and off every few months. 2 years on SteamGifts for you and 0 wins, brutal. If I get any spare game keys I'd love to get you something, least I could do to give back to the community I have grown to love.

2 months ago
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At the moment I don't have any spare keys.

I only enter games which are on my wishlist, maybe that is the reason why I don't win so often. Or better at all. :D

2 months ago
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I think you understood me wrong, I want to get YOU something, if I could at least offer you something in the future for your good deeds I'd be ecstatic.

I mean you have been on SG for 2 years and have 1,500 entries, while I have been on SG for 1 month and have 500 entries, 1:8 ratio of giveaway entries. I really hope you win something cool in the coming weeks or months.

2 months ago
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That is very kind of you. I will remember it and also Whitelisted you. :)

2 months ago
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I'll let you know at some point somehow when I have leftovers, I'll let you choose if you want something and if you insist and are uninterested in the selection, then I won't stop bothering you until you get something noteworthy from me. You deserve it!!!

2 months ago
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There's all sorts of variables involved in something like this and individual user preferences is one of the top ones.

If I've entered 28797 giveaways and won 63. That puts me at about 1 per 457. Which yes does appear better than your 0 in 1507.

However, of those 63, a few were 10000+ keys. One was 50000 keys, everyone won. More were from being a higher level in the past (smaller pool, lower population). And this is before accounting for game quality (subjective but it matters when you are trying to compare wins). If you ever doubt your own method, just go look at some of those people's wins and see if you'd even want any of what they won.

2 months ago
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I've seen 100 key giveaways and so on, but 50,000??? I am speechless. You have to somehow paste those keys inside the damn box, how will they all fit??? This is why the perpetual CV system was implemented that for every additional copy you get less and less CV. Very educational comment!

2 months ago
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Perhaps people who are game devs have an additional way to make it easier on them that comes with the upgraded status. But that's not something I would know about haha.

2 months ago
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I heard that the higher contributor level you reach the less odds you have of winning, because CG takes most of the games for himself as some sort of 'sanction' or 'tax' and covers it up as just 'games'. I heard it gets worse as contributor levels go on. Just be careful with earning CV. I don't think developers get a bonus for earning CV, most likely decreased if anything because of the amount of copies of the game they can print out. It's probably just a measly tag next to your name, nothing else. Take care!

2 months ago
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I know part of that is a joke but for the other bit, it's in the FAQ that game developers can request to have an account upgrade of up to 100000 keys. So that's why I don't know what it is like to enter that many keys. They could have a system where devs submit a csv of keys for them to input or something like that. Nothing a normal user will have knowledge about.

2 months ago
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So what you are saying is that they could generate the keys and feed them straight into SteamGifts for giveaways, or something like that? Man I would be so happy if a game like Stardew Valley or other cozy co-op game had a massive giveaway, that would be so sick. Actually, if there was like 50,000 copies then bots could just enter and steal the keys and sell them on the gray market, but maybe like 100 copies could work fine. You can always dream.

2 months ago
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Yeah most established devs if they are going to do a free giveaway just do it on Steam itself because of that exact issue (recent example, Dead Island Riptide). The devs who give here usually need a more personal reason for it like getting some initial reviews for traction and such. But nothing wrong with that when they're a legit dev, word of mouth is exactly what many of them need.

2 months ago
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Word of mouth can be a powerful thing, as shown by Lethal Company and many other recent games. Something not many games can pull off even with clever marketing.

2 months ago
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you might wanna consider joining the Unlucky7 group for better chances :)

2 months ago
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Wow, thank you. Never heard of it before. :)

2 months ago
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Yep, this group is pretty great. It's where I started to win something after a long unlucky streak (and after that I've started to give back to the community)

2 months ago
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Hi Baffi, thanks for the heavenly protection (¬_¬")

2 months ago
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😜😸

2 months ago
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View attached image.
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2 months ago*
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Your first mistake was taking a picture of your entire desktop, your second mistake was thinking I don't know how to read russian. Seems you had quite the exciting time on March of last year, a whopping 5 wins!

2 months ago
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There is nothing secret or discreditable. I think) Yeah, it was nice, but before that I had -6 in one month)

2 months ago
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Unbelievable, I just got excited that someone got a huge surplus and won so much more than they are supposed to, maybe next time.

2 months ago
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so what do you think of Shōgun series so far?^^ I'm enjoying it quite a lot

2 months ago
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Haven't watched it yet. I found out about it a couple days ago.

P.S.: Cropped the screenshots after the first comment, I guess now I'll have to put them back up again)

2 months ago
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haha, no it's ok, well you def should watch that one then :)

2 months ago
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Thanks for the recommendation, I will!

2 months ago
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Well, the beginning is really intriguing. It's a little hard to follow the dialogue because of all Japanese names, but it's pretty cool! And it gets more and more interesting with each episode, even though I'm not really a fan of the historical Japanese setting.

2 months ago
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