Will this site be near dead without Humble Bundle and similar?
Not really. There are many cheap games in many sites that you can give away. I don't even buy from humble bundle to give away games.
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Considering that this site used to ban bundle games outright, I doubt that will be the case :P.
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Actually I believe just the opposite. Bundles, especially Humble Bundles, are excellent opportunities to get good games (sometimes even AAAs) at a ridiculous price. And some users, I'd say most, cannot really afford to buy something more expensive than that. The proof is that, if you look at what people are giving away these days, aside from bundled games, it's mostly cheap stuff with mediocre ratings on Steam - with some exceptions, of course. If Humble Bundle were to disappear or be banned again, I suspect there would be a drop in the overall quality of games given away.
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Nah but the chances of winning a game would become even slimmer and poor people like me wouldn't be giving away anything so there would be significantly less giveaways. Especially some games have been bundled like 3 years ago but they still count as bundled games, so as time goes on it would be more and more difficult to find non bundled games
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i guess your continous provision of subtle yet entertaining gifs results in a fair amount of whitelist spots?
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When steam gifts v2 launched (this is currently v3), humble bundle gifts were forbidden unless the whole package was being raffled. Back in the days before CV, ownership checks, or even entry points were introduced.
That eventually was struck down due to being ultimately unenforceable but the site was going despite the prohibition on 'bundle trash'. A quilon linked the site stats, and I believe you can see the effect of deprohibition quite clearly in early 2012.
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I assume you mean the invite-only phase was v1?
I joined a bit after that, but I remember bundle games were prohibited until well into 2012.
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Roughly speaking, there would be 85% fewer giveaways (probably the drop-off would be a bit less because some people are giving away games that happened to be bundled which they would have given away anyway, or the like.) But you can see the stats here. For the last year, roughly 85% of giveaways have been bundled games.
On the other hand, there are 90,000 - 100,000 giveaways a month. Without the bundle games, the site would have fewer giveaways, but it would still exist and function fine otherwise. Look at the giveaways per month graph; the 15,000 giveaways per month before bundled games skyrocketed would be about where we'd be, probably. We'd no longer be rolling in a Scrooge McDuck money pit of giveaways like we are now, but there would still be plenty.
Another oddball stat: Aside from levels 0 and 1, each level has seen roughly ten times as many giveaways as there are people at that level. Not sure why, but it's pretty consistent across the other levels.
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