I did confirm with Shobo recently:
The entire bundle will have to reach 95% off to count as bundled.
So far they've been in the 80-90% off range.
Doesn't seem too likely that we'll get a bundle-listed Monthly, though if we ever do, all games in it will count as bundled.
Alien: Isolation was temporarily (it's since been removed) added to the bundle list due to Russian price concerns, and had nothing to do with Monthly status.
Otherwise, all games up to this point have consistently been unbundled.
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I was checking my profile w/ SGTools when I noticed that games from Humble Monthly Bundle were viewed as non-bundled. I also confirmed it here:
http://www.steamgifts.com/bundle-games
When did it happen?
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