It's all RNG. It treats some users like a pornographic lover and others it kicks to the street.
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Winning 8 games in a month hardly puts you in the unlucky category. It takes some users months to win half as much.
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You won 8 games with less than 2000 entries. It took me more than 3 thousand to win my first game. You're anything but unlucky :)
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no, you need thousands of entries into giveaways that have thousands of entries.
Or, you could find giveaways with less entries. I've been in giveaways that had less than 10 entries, in which case the odds of winning are pretty good.
But if you're only entering unrestricted level 0 public giveaways for AAA games, some of those have well over ten thousand entries
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I hardly even find any good giveaways to enter, so I rarely use them. xD
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hm don't expect to win a lot of public giveways, most of them have +500 entries, so you have 1/500 to win.. nowadays most of them have more entries so yeah those odds aren't on your favor.. if you want to win something, you better join private giveways (here on the forum) or private giveway groups.. I won 1.2k ~ giveways only 25 of them were public
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I mainly enter high-level giveaways, especially for whatever came out of the recent humbebundle. If there's a game I particularly want, I might go lower, but I don't even enter level 0 giveaways anymore. Also, private, group, and whitelist giveaways are the way to go.
Private giveaways are often found in the forums, and have maybe 1/10th the number of entries as public ones. giveaways hidden by a puzzle could have significantly less. A puzzle I recently failed to solve had less than 10 entries.
Whitelist GAs generally have good odds, but the only way to get there is by being a good egg and having people like you.
Group giveaways range from wide open public groups, which can have as many entries as public GAs, to groups created around a common purpose, like Lucky 7, or the Backlog Awareness group. There are also giveaway groups that are more like game-swapping circles, with strict rules on how often you must create a giveaway. You'll figure those out just by spending some time on the forums
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Also stop entering wishlist only and high point GA's. Mostly the bots win those.
I enter all my wishlist and I KNOW I'll never win those. Glares at all those Resident Evil 0 GA's
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Your Deus Ex:Mankind Divided win suggests otherwise ;)
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I have even entered for low budget indie games
unless Im missing the point here...which might very well be...that statement is not gonna earn you a lot of friends here
I try to only enter GAs that are either on my wishlist or look interesting to me...havent run out of points in a while
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one of my earliest wins was one I didn't realize I entered and had no interest in, but at the time a win was a win and I was dang happy about it. Nowadays, I have no problem telling the GA creator that they should reroll if I don't think I'll be playing the game any time soon (if I even enter such a GA)
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I feel your pain :) It's been since december 2016 that i won something. Although i have to admit, i only join my wishlist giveaways so that diminishes my chances somewhat.
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You win a lot more public giveaway than I did, so I would say you are actually pretty lucky. My experience is that if it's public, especially low level, the chance to win is basically zero. You should try to join some groups if you want better chances. You can try out Playing Appreciated if you like playing your wins, for example.
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And since you guys have been so willing to watch me moan about not winning that much here is another random key i have laying around that is a mystery. 9YHXG-F58MH-I6C?0. The ? = the first letter of a small stringed instrument played with a bow.
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https://www.steamgifts.com/stats/personal/community - you can see here whether you have been unlucky. The second chart mathematically and statistically counts your chances in every giveaway you entered. You can see if you have won more or less gifts than mathematically estimated.
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I have won 11 less gifts than estimated since I first joined. But that's OK.
You can increase your chances by selecting giveaways. You are level 4, so you might want to focus on Lvl4+ giveaways. The higher the level, the less entries. The less entries, the bigger your chances.
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I always have the same first question whenever anyone posts one of these threads:
What's your luck-per-month at? Just to help give us an idea whether you're even statistically unlucky or not. A lot of people tend to overlook how even a few gifts can be very lucky if they're entering giveaways with thousands of entries everytime.
(if you're not sure to find it, go over to the points area and click the down area -> my stats -> look for the luck per month graph, and it'll be the number at the end of the paragraph)
Oops, nevermind, I just saw the post like two above where someone already asked
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!!!
I can't believe it.
It... activated!
I... i... i can't believe it!
I mean, here and elsewhere i have seen key drops as fast as 3 minutes since they were dropped an they were always taken. Always.
Ninjas, bots i have no idea.
And this time it... is this some kind of sorcery? Is this real life?
Or is it just fantasy?
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I've actually been very lucky lately, 5 wins in the past 3 weeks. Not sure if it's the new point generation algorithm, or just the old random number generator.
Joining groups, and being fortunate enough to be added to some folks' Whitelists, is probably the best way to win on this site.
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With all the capcom bundle and other bundle games being listed on SG my points regenerate super fast but all that does is prove my theory: Im super unlucky.I have even entered for low budget indie games to see if that makes a difference but have the same results.Are you guys having any better luck with winning with the extra entry points generating. Maybe its just me but I dont feel like a trip to the casinos needs to be in my near future.
*There may be orphan keys spread out through this discussion for entertainment purposes
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