There are no COVID-19 related deaths when the coroner writes in the certificate of death some kind of other comorbidities.
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For example, where I live (Poland) there is plenty of "unofficial" sources about that (someone goes with an indication of having COVID-19, died, and goes out without COVID-19, isn't that suspicious?)
And yes, I think death/infected count is lowered in many countries.
Edit, and your image is not working
![](https://i.ibb.co/47g1pVx/Covid.jpg)
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In the U.S., the rumor is that they mark it as a "COVID-19 death" if the deceased had the disease, period. That counts even when the person was shot to death. I have not been able to verify this for myself, but it is already well-known that some agencies are "playing fast and loose" with our numbers.
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Yeah, there's a bunch of different conspiracy theories going around about numbers in every country.
For example, here in Ireland, they are testing people who died of suspected Covid before they announce it in the official numbers. Only if the symptoms were the cause of their death. There is no guess work. Some deaths take a week to get added to the numbers because of this.
BUT... there are conspiracy theorists pushing the rumour that many of the deaths were guessed. That's 100% not true. They've been completely transparent in the announcements everyday.
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While most of these conspiracy theories are likely at the very least greatly exaggerated, there are sadly places that have shown that there's some truth to them, at least in some regions. I think it was Dagestan where more healthcare workers who had died from Covid than people who had died from Covid, and the local government were very keen on pushing the "everything is alright" narrative, choosing to present the low number as proof.
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I agree there. I do think it's far more likely that some countries are under-reporting cases rather than over-reporting them. At the end of the day, they're trying to look better to the outside world.
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Hospitals get paid to fix the numbers and get more money for using ventilators. "But if it's COVID-19 pneumonia, then it's $13,000, and if that COVID-19 pneumonia patient ends up on a ventilator, it goes up to $39,000."
I and dad have confirmed it by asking staff.
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Here in the U.S., its up to each state how its reported. And then each county in each state. Our county and state have 2 different official death numbers for our county. Our state has done alot of testing of asymptomatic people and report it how many are positive, but wont say how many were tested.
Some states are transparent and wont list the cause of death as C-19 if something else actually was the cause of death (auto accidents, cancer, heart attack, etc). How many of the infected are actually in a hospital. How many are asymptomatic, etc.
Other states, such as mine, refuse to be transparent. They mark it as C-19 because they want the federal FEMA money in dealing with the infected and dead. Which causes problems for beneficiaries of life insurance policies as pandemics are not covered. They have to fight to get the real cause of death listed if its not C-19.
Locally, if someone was suspected of being infected, they were tested and added to the tally. And if the results come back negative, they dont adjust. Fema pays for each hospital, labs, medications, free hotel quarantine for homeless, free food, social workers hours, etc if its billed at C-19.
The real place to be is North Korea. No infections ever!
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He is from Republic of Latvia. At least his steam profile says that way.
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There are a lot of problems with using deaths at this time.
Belgium is not doing "well" but they are also over-reporting, they are basically reporting any death that might be related (any symptons, or elderly home) as COVID deaths.
It is also more densely populated, which means the virus has an easier time spreading there (regardless of other measures).
There are a lot of things that affect the spread (and death rate) of COVID-19.
I'm saying this as someone with some experience with viruses (worked on a lab with them, am not a virologist tho)
While it's nice to compare deaths per inhabitants, and it can be a nice idea.
Problem is that there are quite a lot of variables, especially with deaths.
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This is further compounded by how some countries are under-reporting deaths, as only cases where they can beyond a shadow of a doubt show that Covid was the leading cause gets reported. The UK is an example of a country that themselves believe that there are more Corona-related deaths than is being reported, among the elderly in particular, due to this. So comparisons are really hard to do.
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Portugal is having a lot of issues since they oppened back up. The situation is out of control in the Lisbon region (according to official medical sources as they quote today on the Portuguese press), the number of infected people started rising unlike most other countries in Europe, we are actually one of the worst cases right now in par with Sweden and the UK.
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Sweden has really handled this really poorly. Due to the similarities between the Nordic countries, you can get a pretty good idea of how well different strategies work, by comparing Sweden to Norway. Sure, Sweden is not identical to Norway, but their performance should be in the same ballpark if you compare the two.
Also, hello from Stockholm, the place in Sweden that's having the most issues!
It's not nearly as bad here as we've seen in places like New York, but that's likely more down to how spread out the population is, than any other factor. Had the population density been higher, there would be a lot more issues. There are still a worryingly large amount of ambulances that keep passing by every day here, far more than there ever were in the past.
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We had a crazy woman called Gemma O'Doherty trying to take the government to court over lockdown legislation here in Ireland. Thankfully, it got thrown out. She was comparing Sweden's approach and saying that you guys were doing it right. At the time, we had a similar number of cases as you guys, while you were not on lockdown and we were. But, it needed time for the incubation period to pass after the various measures were put in place. Today 14 new cases. At one point it was 1k per day.
It is clear that the herd immunity approach that Sweden and the UK went for is not the right one, but you still have crazy people out there who still think that it is.
I'm sorry that you guys have such assholes in government. Stay safe!
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Rakia and garlic in the Balkan = low amount of cases.
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I know a girl whos dad died from COVID, but doctors wrote stage 4 lung cancer in his death certificate, despite the fact he did not even experienced any symptoms of cancer. And at funeral he was transported and buried with all the COVID protection for personnel. You can tweak death rate from COVID easily like that sadly.
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My country, Sweden, reports every single COVID-19 case and that's a reason why it's so high here according to our corona leader (I have no clue how to translate it, he relays information on the crisis in Sweden).
We've had a truly awful situation when it comes to elderly care though. If my grandpa's home care workers had used masks and gloves when handling him, maybe he wouldn't be dead now. And lots of other similar reports in the whole country calling elderly care workers mass murderers (I don't know if I agree with that, but it's bitter that my loved one's death could maybe have been prevented).
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Thank you. He had a pretty difficult disease at its end stage so it was more of a mercy kill. Still pretty unnecessary though.
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My sincere condolences. One thing that is sad is that Sweden doesn't test enough. You can argue about closing shops and those things, but if you don't test you are 'blind' to where the virus is.
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Sweden has a more deeply rooted issue than just a lack of PPE for staff working with care for the elderly. My mother works at a retirement home, so I get some of the insider info from here.
One major issue is how a large portion of the staff is employed. Rather than having permanent employment, you've got a lot of people who are employed by the hour (I think that's how you translate timmanställd), who move between units. They can work at one place before lunch, and then another after lunch, and in many cases (including in my municipality) they've been allowed to go straight from a place with confirmed cases, to a place with no confirmed cases, thus spreading the disease.
I'm really sorry to hear about your grandfather. It did not have to happen :(
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As I searched for news about the subnotification of COVID and the explosion of severe acute respiratory syndrome (ARDS), I've noticied that is even worse than I was expecting.
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There are multiple reasons why we did pretty good in Germany.
We still could improve a lot though. We relied on masks pretty late for example.
Edit: I like this site https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus
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In case you missed this website somehow.
No need for you to put work in a selfmade spreadsheet when all information is allready there ;)
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That's what I was thinking, I've been using this website since it started here.
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Just the official information. In Brazil, at least, the reallity is even worse.
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Sorry, I didn't mean to be disrespectful. It's just that, even if a country test a good chunk of people, there's no way to catch all of the infection cases. To be sure, it would mean to test 100% of the population regularly.
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If you are listening to "the news media," you will likely be hearing a lot of conflicting information. Sifting through available information, there are some things we may safely conclude.
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"COVID-19 seems to have a death rate similar to Influenza, but it spreads much more easily and is a danger for a much narrower range of people."
It does not. "April data from New York suggests that the infection fatality rate of Covid-19 was between 0.5 and 0.8 percent, which matches international estimates. Estimates of case fatality rates are higher and vary quite a bit country by country.
That infection fatality rate for Covid-19 is much, much higher than the flu, which has an infection fatality rate of around 0.02 to 0.05 percent, according to infectious disease epidemiologist Adam Kucharski on Twitter. This means Covid-19 may be more than 10 times more deadly than the flu." Source
"They are not meant to be worn by healthy people, nor do such masks protect their wearers from becoming infected."
Problem is that you are infectious before you are 'sick'. So 'healthy' doesn't mean 'not infectious'. That's why face coverings are required/encouraged to wear in certain situations even if you feel 'healthy'.
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Deaths related to COVID-19 are being overreported.
They're also being under-reported. Some US states and countries are purposefully under-reporting Covid-19 deaths to make the situation look better than it is.
Survivor rates of those infected with COVID-19 are being underreported.
It's not so much that they're being under-reported, as that with limited testing asymptomatic cases get missed entirely.
COVID-19 appears to have a death rate similar to Influenza, but it spreads much more easily and is a danger for a much narrower range of people.
It's actually much higher, along with being far more infectious, and with having a longer incubation period during which people may be asymptomatic but still capable of infecting others.
The various "shut downs" do not prevent people from getting COVID-19, but they do "stretch out" the period of time it takes to infect the population and thus delay the time it takes for "herd immunity" to assert itself. "Flattening the curve" also prevents hospitals from being overwhelmed with patients who need intensive treatment.
It absolutely can prevent people from getting infected. If you're isolating at home and not coming in contact with others, your chance of being infected is close to 0. The only reason it doesn't stop the infection is that people are either unable or unwilling to isolate themselves. Regardless, flatting the curve is the overall goal so that hospitals do not become overwhelmed.
A surprising percentage of the population is still clueless when it comes to "being safe." Aside from the specially designed masks which are used by doctors and nurses when treating infected persons, masks are meant to be worn by sick people to help prevent them from infecting others. They are not meant to be worn by healthy people, nor do such masks protect their wearers from becoming infected. Proper "distancing" and the regular washing of hands is the primary method to avoid contracting COVID-19.
Masks are meant to be worn by everyone. You are correct in that masks are there to keep people from infecting others, but given that you might have Covid-19 and be asymptomatic for 2 weeks or longer, everyone should be wearing masks when going out in public. If everyone wears a mask, then everyone with Covid-19 also ends up wearing a mask. If only people with symptoms wear masks, then you're guaranteed to have asymptomatic carriers continue to spread the disease.
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The fact that you seriously saying "If you are listening to "the news media," you will likely be hearing a lot of conflicting information. Sifting through available information, there are some things we may safely conclude." doesn't tip you off already is just disappointing.
I saw so many people repeating these conspiracy theories and Elon Musk hearsay, so I was thinking that I might've missed out on something major... but this really is some anti-vax and flat Earth level ideas. I'm glad I didn't miss anything so major, but I'm also disappointed that people like you are just chomping at the bits here.
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You have rightly received some criticism already, but this questionable point wasn't fully covered yet.
The various "shut downs" do not prevent people from getting COVID-19, but they do "stretch out" the period of time it takes to infect the population and thus delay the time it takes for "herd immunity" to assert itself. "Flattening the curve" also prevents hospitals from being overwhelmed with patients who need intensive treatment.
You present the main reason for lockdowns as a secondary "also prevents ..." argument, while you almost seem to complain that herd immunity is delayed by these lockdowns.
Not to mention that herd immunity never was a justifiable alternative to shut downs, as nobody knew (and mostly still don't know) if previously infected people will be immune or how long an immunity might last
.
And last but not least you didn't mention lockdowns buying us time to develop vaccines or find treatments which ease the sickness, like recent reports about Dexamethasone.
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Deaths related to COVID-19 are being overreported.
Not really sure how we can "safely" conclude that, considering a lot of countries affected (and that's a fact) didn't have enough test kits so a lot of the early deaths, as well as many deaths that could be attributed to other lethal diseases, "old age" and other weakening conditions were not counted as COVID deaths so I think on the whole it evens out.
There is apparently a substantial percentage of people who have had COVID-19 and gotten over it without ever realizing they had it. The exact numbers of such cases are unknown at this time.
Yup. A lot of people I know who had it only figured out that's what it was when they hit the anosmia phase.
My sister, her boyfriend, several of their friends and colleagues, as well as a number of my colleagues and friends were infected. They were never tested as they were told "just take aspirin for the fever and only call emergency services if you're suffocating" (I'm not kidding) and as their symptoms went away, they were never hospitalized or tested so the number of reported cases is most likely way inferior to the actual number.
I imagine if someone had died, they could have been tested but considering the number of tests available at the beginning of confinement, back in March when they were all sick, it would most likely have been written out as something else.
The various "shut downs" do not prevent people from getting COVID-19, but they do "stretch out" the period of time it takes to infect the population and thus delay the time it takes for "herd immunity" to assert itself.
The issue is they still don't know if there is such a thing as "herd immunity" when it comes to this virus. All they can say right now is that some people, not all of them, who contracted the disease have developed some antibodies but they don't know how long they will be efficient and protect from contracting the virus again.
masks are meant to be worn by sick people to help prevent them from infecting others.
Most people I know who ended up sick at the very beginning of confinement propagated the disease to coworkers and friends before they even knew they were sick. You don't have to be experiencing symptoms to benefit from a mask. Even an allergic sneeze can contribute to propagation without the person knowing they are sick.
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These kinds of things really highlight why raw statistics are rarely reliable.
Statistics are a great way of tracking simple values with little or no interpretation involved, such as stock levels, registries, etc. But where the human factor enters in, statistics start to drift in usefulness. It only takes a handful of different locales to use different standards of detection / logging to throw off their summary reports, so it always helps to take things with a pinch of salt.
This is why whenever there is a heated debate about big issues, and people start slapping statistics down as if they speak for themselves, I tend to sidestep them. Without fail, every time stats get quoted, there is either an oversight in how they are interpretted, how they were collected, or the conclusions the citing party were drawing. Opposing statistics can turn into a tennis match where the rebuttals from every serve actually stand to a fair degree of reason.
In the case of Covid-19, the stats we see have a variety of standards and thresholds, and are collected not just from different locales, but different institutes/departments, and also across entirely different countries. When they are reported on, each group presenting them are not guaranteed to be impartial.
It's a real mess, and trying to see through it to any reliable sense of scale is definitely beyond me.
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There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies and statistics.
But sometimes we can just follow the money. (Especially useful when the healthcare system is for profit.) https://medcitynews.com/2020/05/heres-what-hospitals-got-in-the-first-round-of-cares-act-payments/
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I am sure you will interesting in BCG's assumption
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41375-020-0871-4
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.03.30.20048165v3
Some deaths in some countries may be not really deaths. It is always underestimated.
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/excess_deaths.htm
If you compared A country (numbers reflect 90% real COVID-19 death) and B country (numbers reflect 50% real COVID-19 death)
You will get a wrong explanation.
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There's a major problem with these numbers. Here in the US they over exaggerate the numbers, and people who die of anything similar to covid get tagged with that as the cause of death, while places like Brazil, China and Russia are under reporting their figures to make themselves look better.
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Can you prove this overreporting claim ou is just a Trump quote?
I ask because you say Brazil is under reporting, but here our president/federal government says the same as Trump, that "Deaths are being overreported".
It seems like is just a tactic to mask their incompetence.
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I's been noted repeatedly that anyone showing similar symptoms to covid, get tagged with it as the cause of death, and due to lack of test kits, they havnt been testing the dead.
The insurance companies also pay out more for deaths due to covid. So profit is the simplest reason for why they have been doing this.
I dont get into BS political arguments. Local politics are the only ones that really affect me anyway. If I see the words Trump, Clinton, or Obama, I just NOPE out of the conversation.
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I found this article posted by Loupou22 interesting on the subject: https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/how-covid-19-deaths-are-counted1/
Right now I dont think you can make this claim that deaths are being exaggerated.
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Funny it references Colorado. It was brought to their attention that one of their residents "died of COVID" with a Blood Alcohol Content [BAC] of 0.55. As a result, they decided to do a review of all COVID deaths and the result was a 25% reduction in the state's total.
While some, such as that article, are pointing to "excess deaths", others have rightly pointed out that there are many causes for such deaths from people avoiding hospitals for the last 3 months and from unemployment leading to increased drug and alcohol use as well as suicides.
The one thing I do know is that the CDC changed their guidance on the way to designate deaths just for COVID. Prior to this, it was up to the doctor to determine the primary cause of death. First, with any COVID positive, it is supposed to be included on the death certificate. Second, instead of just considering the primary cause, if COVID shows up anywhere on the death certificate, the death is classified as COVID.
On top of that, many states are adding any case where people have died of natural causes and designating them COVID deaths without a test. Different States are doing different things.
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I's been noted repeatedly that anyone showing similar symptoms to covid, get tagged with it as the cause of death, and due to lack of test kits, they havnt been testing the dead.
The second part is most likely true. The fist part however is pure conjecture. If they can't determine the cause of death as COVID, they have no reason to mark it as such so it's more likely the cases are under-reported.
Unless you have actual sources, not from twitter or blogs. Who "noted" this "repeatedly"?
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Some counties just lied about their #'s. China is obviously lying immensely.
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Sweden is especially high given the population density is very low.
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Sweden is trying the herd immunity route with social distancing rather than cause non Covid-19 deaths and financial ruin.
I havent seen any media talking about any spikes in non Covid death. People are not seeing their doctors and having life threatening signs spotted. Along with other physical and mental health issues of shelter in place.
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I made some comparisons between some countries and found that the situations between the countries where far from excepted (in my opinion)
https://ibb.co/f2GDHx7
I have used those sites :
https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html
https://www.indexmundi.com/map/
Is it because of the disciplined population and the medical sytem efficiency ?
Germany and Portugal are the champions
I know that my review only use knowed countries (of me) and exclude many many others countries
If you want i can put some more countries
2 small Ga :
https://www.steamgifts.com/giveaway/i9Ygp/road-doom
https://www.steamgifts.com/giveaway/AX8f6/fear-effect-sedna
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