You can check AllKeyShop for rough value of games.
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Wow, you're a barrel of laughs.
Ever thought that some people may know about these things or be traders themselves and would answer OPs question?
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It just means that there was a deal somewhere with a lower price, nothing really mysterious.
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Most simply use G2A or the AllKeyShop aggregator to tell the grey/black market price of a key. Then they either do the sensible thing and remove the extensive taxes and fees those sites put on each key and sell 10-50% cheaper, or they try to bank on people not knowing about the grey/black market or distrusting them more than an actual person, so they jack up the price up to double. A lot, and I mean a LOT of Rust keys were sold like that when it was first put in a high-tier Humble bundle.
Unless you are on barter.vg or lestrades, where some people have this very strange notion that original non-sale USD prices are the baseline, so they genuinely expect you to give them a brand-new 60 dollar game for two Dark Souls keys.
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I have noticed after trading for awhile that there are some people who resell the games have a certain price to them. And their prices are the same or similar to each other, especially how the price changes overtime.
For example, trading in Shovel Knight to a reseller is $18 then the next day it costs $12, but there was no sale or bundle that happened involving Shovel Knight. I go to another reseller and the game he valued from $17 drops to $11. So I am wondering how come the price just drop like that and how they determine its value? Is there some website they use?
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