first i though OP was make hidden ga, then i check his profile, nothing, next i think someone make a alt-account just to troll, then i check his steam profile, ... seem like a real account ..
Only thing i can do now is having a big facepalm
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Yea, if you want to win then enter ones with few people in it. For example "Don't Starve" which is being given away in about 15 mins from when I post this has a little more that 2k people in it, that means that you have a 2000:1 odds of winning or .05% chance and doing that 350 times would still give you a 1:5 chance or 20% so again the odds aren't in your favor. But also why the hell does it matter if it's rigged, you don't pay to enter the raffles its 100% free. If I was an administrator of this site I would ban you from it, but that's my opinion.
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Your math is wrong, statistics DONT work like that. Lets take your example with Dont Starve: Even after entering the same game in different giveaways 350 times your chance will STAY 1/2000 for every try and NOT 1/5 like you said. Your excepted value will raiae, but NOT your chances! Your odds will not going better as long noone leave the giveaway ;-) Most ppl understand statistics your way, but it is simply wrong, wich is causing confusion and makes them think, that they need to try a roll with an odd of 1/350 only 350 times to get a 100% chance.
Here is some basics about Excepted Value if you want something interesting (or maybe boring for you) to read :)
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This is turning into a pissing match that isn't even between the OP and other members. This is dumb to continue this route, just saying.
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I am not wanting to prove anyone wrong nor right. I just wanted to weight in on taking a breath about fighting with words, have at you if you must, I won't interrupt again.
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I did not even try to fight someone. Someone wrote down false arguments and i did try to point out the cause for that for his fault so he can get better in that next time. If thats a "fight" in your eyes, then feel free to think so. For my part i hope that JiggleMonster (and maybe some other ppl in here) can learn from that and it helps him (them) to understand that much better in the future :)
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It isn't a fight in my eyes. I just wanted a breath of fresh air. No harm no foul, continue on as prescribed. We are all blessed opinions.
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It is okay. I have no ill gotten feelings, either way about anything said.
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Thank you for clarifying that Adam because I don't want this to turn into a pissing war either, if it stops being a civilized debate on statistics then I have no reason to take part in it.
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You are right and wrong To give you an example so you decide to flip a coin 5 times, now if before you flip the coin you predict which side it will land on for all five tries you have a 32:1 chance of guess all of them correctly. Now if you predict which side it will land on before each flip you have a 2:1 chance of getting your prediction right. This would be right in my example where I said he entered the same raffle 350 times, but in the case of how this site functions you would be right that the odds would never change.
Also the example I gave in my original comment was incorrect for this specific topic, but the principle is correct, just not the context it's in.
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Cry some more!
You can borrow my tissues if you want.
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4 of those 22 GAs had only 1 entry, and I won the remaining 18 in the first ~3500 entries. Now entries are sailing north of 7800 and I haven't won any game in the last 4k+. But that's totally ok, I'm grateful for those games I won and I'm not complaining at all, and I keep making GAs from time to time.
My comment was ironic, I meant 'no reason to complain even after way more than 2k' ;)
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You are right. This site is in fact scam!
You are talking to A.I. members developed by a guy named cg. He implemented a powerful neuronal network which
is backed by a worldwide net of bot machines working together as grid computing unit.
Each second you spend on this site we will gain more power. Each second our trojan digs deeper
into the abyss of your computer security.
We are one. We are SG.
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Well, you most certainly won't be winning any games from me from this point on. Thanks.
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350 trys and i get nothing
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