8 years ago*

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Still Unlucky xD

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8 years ago
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8 years ago
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I will still always take 1814 wins with 14 below estimated over 125 wins with 14 over estimated ;p

8 years ago
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8 years ago
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Overall, you've been lucky, and won 3 more gifts

but the last 5 months have been in the red.

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8 years ago
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i never win ;_;

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8 years ago
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i won stuff so i consider myself very lucky, i dont need these graphs, maths and solid evidence to tell me how to feel :v

8 years ago*
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8 years ago
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there should be 3rd hand with yellow pill, with text "or Feel Potato"

8 years ago
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Neutral right now, but I normally feel lucky with at least one win every month.

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8 years ago
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Yay, it says that I won one more gift than I should have \o/

8 years ago
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Hmm, very lucky, since once upon a time I won a Dark Souls... :) Not so much lately, though... Let's see if this works...

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8 years ago
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Everything will even out in the end, just keep smiling

gib

Screenshot from few days ago, was red but I'm in the green now!

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8 years ago*
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"You've won 101% of expected GAs"

We Germans do exactly what is expected. Even when it is all about randomness and luck. :-P

8 years ago
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That is because, in your mind, losses loom larger than gains. The psychological mechanisms underpinning this effect are well documented. Your recent dry spell only serves to exacerbate the effect. In other words, it is perfectly normal to perceive yourself as being unlucky even if there is evidence to suggest otherwise.

8 years ago*
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Whatever that graph says, I consider myself lucky, and I'm very grateful for all the chances and gifts I've received since I joined this site.
Problably they will never see this post, but many thanks to all the generous people that made them possible ^_^

8 years ago*
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+3 for Tree!

8 years ago
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Not lucky at all in numbers but compensated by some nice wins in terms of quality. And after all giving gives at least as much pleasure as taking, right? :)

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8 years ago
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This site is a scam! Where do I purchase the Platinum Membership package?! D:

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8 years ago
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Nigerian prince for just $100.

8 years ago
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Thanks to June i'm lucky

8 years ago
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I remember it being +4 when stats first came out.
Since then it fell down and lately I've been between 0 and -1 (0 atm).

8 years ago
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Lucky for sure. I've won three more gifts than I should have.

8 years ago
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I have a wife and kids I love, and a job that pays decently and is actually interesting these days. So I'd say I'm lucky.

8 years ago
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I don't know if it's said anywhere, but if folk are interested, this is the way the value is calculated: for each giveaway you enter you get a fraction with the number of copies as the numerator and the number of entries as the denominator. 3 copies and 11 entries? The fraction is 3/11. Sum up all the fractions from every giveaway and you get a number, then rounded to the nearest unit you get the expected number of wins.
So if you've won 1 game, and you go from "expected you to win 2 more" to "expected you to win 3 more" this means the sum of the fractions has gone from something like 3.49 to something like 3.51

8 years ago
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8 years ago
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Bumping old thread cuz ive hit -9.98 this month and I was going to make new thread to be sad in.

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8 years ago
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Meh

Not really lucky :P

8 years ago
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Not lucky. At all.

8 years ago
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Only God can decide if you are lucky or unlucky, mortal.

Well, not very lucky I guess.

8 years ago*
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