So it's just me being nosy as usual. And since I don't know how to do the math, I'll just post as I know how to.

How was your luck winning here in 2024?

Since I know I'm done seeing spacecat in 2024, and maybe for good now, I figured I'd ask now since 2024 is almost over.

How was your luck in 2024 here?
Mine was 7 wins but I still have an average of 4 above.

How was yours?

Edit- sorry for no GA's. I don't have anything right now.

1 month ago*

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-5.16 wins from just this month.....

1 month ago
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136 total in 2024 though.

1 month ago
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-3 wins at 357.

So my luck is 357/360 = 99.167% of the expected, pretty standard. I basically never leave the -1 to -4 range.

1 month ago
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Technically, I'm at -2 wins vs projected wins. But I don't really join a ton of giveaways overall and am super pleased by the games I've won. So, I would say it was an excellent year.

1 month ago
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1 month ago
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I think they are only looking for statistics for 2024 which might be hard to quantify, maybe sgtools has that info? For me it's easy, I only had to removed 1 month, everything else happened in 2024

1 month ago
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First yeаr on steаmgifts, took me some time to win аnything аnd find groups, still аt -7 gifts ассording to stаts.

Tough luck, but yeаr's not over аnd 85% chаnce for Dec 31 looks nice. + I did win а few gаmes I wаnted, which is nice

1 month ago
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Mediocre. I only won 6 games this year, which is nearly a third what I usually win.

1 month ago
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I won 102 games during 2024 so far. I say so far because there is still time left and I have 70%+ chance right now for 31st, it could happen
I have won 7 more gifts than expect overall, my luckiest month was January with 8 wins. This does not include games gifted to me by very generous people.
For people wondering if I even play my wins, I have played through 12 this month. I beat 11, got 100% on 4 of those and 1 I got to the last boss and gave up. Difficulty curve went from a joke to insane so I decided to spend my time on other games. I might finish 2 more before new years. It was very taxing going through so many games, I will probably slow it down going forward.

1 month ago
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Is that just luck, groups, have any idea? Groups are the most impact on my wins, i think this year i checked sg almost daily and i got less then a fith. Am i that unlucky?

1 month ago
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I entered over 8000 giveaways to win 102, this is after groups and whitelists. So even after improving my odds they were still 1/80 or 0.0125%
several wins were from group/whitelist giveaways with multiple winners

1 month ago
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That seems like insane numbers to me, but I guess higher lvl on SG means better odds on giveaways? But even than, it could just be your luck is just opposite of mine (-7)

1 month ago
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utilizing groups and whitelists will help odds but even then the chances are quite low I have won 1/80 giveaways or 0.0125%

1 month ago
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Low, but those are still 8 times better odds since I'm also at almost 8k entered this year and only about 0.0015% (12 wins)

Again, I'm stll glad to have found this place and won games i won/ gave people gifts they liked, but statistically speaking my luck didn't go well)

1 month ago
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I have just 1 year here, so far I can tell I'm at -9.
And about Dec I'm -0.98.
However I think I was quite "lucky".

1 month ago
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Seems like I'm at +3 and with 14 wins I definitely can't complain, though I have been in the red since October with no wins.

1 month ago
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overall terrible... oh wait in SG

slightly below average(2/3 of the year that bar is in the red), but I was a bit stricter on what I entered this year so its expected... also being a gambling addict with mystery bundles doesn't help when I suddenly own all the random things people will be making GA's for. Fairly happy with what I won though

1 month ago
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It's about -0.2% average per month, no wins this year yet. Though I enter far fewer giveaways these days, so that seems about right.

1 month ago
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I've entered 124 GAs this year and won one game, that's pretty lucky I think.

View attached image.
1 month ago
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-0.88 for the entire year so far, though it might change for the better or worse with the xmas community train at the last day. I still won some good games I wanted to play though, so I would count myself lucky

1 month ago
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I'm very happy with my wins, won 4 games, stuff happened and I've only "finished" one and started the second (I dropped out of the box, I was interested in the story but the gameplay became stale, plus the game forces you to visually remember a few characters, mess up once and you lose 8+ minutes and have to restart the day).
I also won a couple games on X Twitter.

A big thank you to everyone who gift games, I'm only sorry that I haven't beaten all my wins yet but I'm working on them.

1 month ago
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You should join the TalePlay and Unlucky-7 groups. Unlucky-7 is for people with less than 7 wins, TalePlay (level 2+) is for people that agree to play their wins from the group.

1 month ago
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I didn't know about TalePlay (I'm Level 1), I do know about uL-7 but honestly I am happy with my current wins, got plenty to play.

Thank you, I'll keep them in mind for the future.

1 month ago
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My graph just loves wildly swinging up and down.

View attached image.
1 month ago
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You got a wild one! :)

1 month ago
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This is my first year here, and I didn't win anything. According to the graph, this is one fewer win than expected. I have entered 575 giveaways so far.

1 month ago
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1 which is 1 more than estimated

1 month ago
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Technically unlucky by Steamgifts stats, but I feel very lucky to have gotten a few of the games I have entered for a lot this year in the holiday gifting thread!

I've already played through some of them and have enjoyed them 😊

1 month ago
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Ive won 19 less then estimated overall.
But right now im at -1.5 wich is good for my stats (im frequently -3, -4)
This was a good year for me on sg overall, 19 wins

I consider myself unlucky overall but lucky in 2024- even more so thanks to some direct gifts from some nice users during christmas - and that alone counted for me way more then any of the usual SG wins. On that regard alone 2024 mighve been the greatest year for me on SG- the best gift the community itself

1 month ago
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2024, but...

52% chance on the 31st of Dec and 21% on the 1st of Jan (xmas train).

Like 40 wins this year, 11 less then estimated since joining.

View attached image.
1 month ago
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2024 Luck: +9.94
Games won in 2024: 120
Games sent in 2024: 1,063

1 month ago
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First half of the year was good - came back from negative estimated.
But second half... it was atrocious!
I just went -15.42 in last 6 months! (┬┬﹏┬┬)

1 month ago
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1 win in 6 months, enjoyable one too, can't complain.

1 month ago
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I go between -1 and +1 most years, same this year. I did lose a whole contrib level this year though.

Edit: Not sure how image formatting works anymore. :D

View attached image.
1 month ago
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-8,4149 Up to today through all 2024. It's also more or less the same "luck" I had in June. Removing June from the equation would leave it at almost zero. I still have positive at "estimated since you first joined" and I'm not frowning or whining for the negative result this year. For me, all years could be zero result. With time, the estimated should tend to zero anyway, but it will take a lot.

97.89% winning chance on 31st. I had +90% chance on 2023's last day, and I won that: exactlty one gift. I hope to win one and only one this year too. But if I don't, I'm not going to get angry or frustrated or disappointed. But that 2.11% will be grounded all year long. And no dessert.

1 month ago
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