That's what i say to Wormy's mom every night after she take her clothes off
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This reminds me of that time i tried to catch a giant rat in the sewers of dalaran. and i was at like 5000 casts when a level 13 sat beside me getting the achievement at cast 13. :D. Though i did not make a support ticket to blizzard to complain
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true, he must missed the "there is ALWAYS a chance to" class...
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Amusing how people are against one of their own kind. A while ago I saw someone giving away 3 copies of MW3, he only registered like 2 hours ago before doing that, also not owning the game himself. He was also accused of being scum, yet people here now claims that it is in fact possible to win the only giveaway you entered(which is quite right), however giving away 3 copies of MW3 after just registering a few hours ago, while not owning the games on his own, is quite possible as well.
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Yeah, but see... in reality, being a brand new registration and immediately turning around with three copies of a high-demand item comes across as suspicious. Especially some of the idiots who come on here and create giveaways thinking that that's how they select what game they want to win (yes, I've seen it).
It doesn't necessarily mean that people should immediately jump to conclusions and scream fake and call the giveaway creator names, and I'm not at all condoning abusive behaviour to anyone. But it does come across as suspicious.
In this case, OP simply refused to believe that random chance is not... you know... purely random... and instead thinks that the winner must have somehow cheated or hacked the site, or that the site rigs votes. It's plausible to be suspicious of someone who creates a huge, money-wise, giveaway immediately after joining the site. It's less plausible to accuse mathematics of being corrupt.
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Well the way I see it, this is no less suspicious than the 3 high priced game giveaways at all. I don't see the difference. I don't think it is this much unlikely for someone to cheat, yet not this unlikely to win like this either, yet people still only believes only one of that, or at least claim so.
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I'm playing devil's advocate here (I believe this kind of luck is entirely possible) but...
Nobody's accusing math of being corrupt. Let's be honest, this is a site that gives you free things. As everyone knows, there ain't no such thing as a free lunch. It's perfectly reasonable and healthy for people to be suspicious when a website offers free things. In fact, the type of people who point out the improbable, the unlikely, and the suspicious, even when they're wrong, are what keep websites like these honest.
Nobody said math is corrupt, only that people can be.
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But the website isn't creating the offers. SteamGifts is facilitating the transaction, but the gifters are the ones creating the giveaways. SteamGifts also has relatively-inobtrusive advertising for GMG, so that's their revenue stream to keep the site going, right there.
Which is more likely?
A new user creates an account and manages to hit the jackpot on his first try
This website has been built to be rigged for over a year, and the admin are manipulating the results to benefit whoever they choose, and have managed to cover this up so well that ONLY geniuspants OP here spots the glitch in the matrix, after 94,000+ successful giveaways
That is what we're weighing probabilities on, here.
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Like I said, I'm just playing devil's advocate, I totally believe the former is more likely. And I know that SteamGifts is only facilitating a transaction rather than paying for one - but are you seriously telling me skepticism isn't healthy when it comes to the promise of free things online?
Doesn't mean the latter is impossible. 'sides, the "intentionally make one sound simple while explaining every factor of the other one" routine really just undermines your point to anyone with more than two brain cells to rub together. You have to admit, a new account hitting a win on their first attempt is also incredibly unlikely. Not impossible, obviously, but it is hugely lucky. And that's all OP asked.
Anyway, to the OP, yes it is entirely possible. Unlikely, but obviously not impossible. It's not any evidence of trickery.
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I notised this, here is 2 screenshots:
http://awesomescreenshot.com/078bdmz43
http://awesomescreenshot.com/0e2bdn398
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