Given my SG birthday thread was 8 months ago..., that means I'm at about 1 win per month.
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Almost 11 months, 4480 entered, and 1 won with an almost 6 estimated wins.
Yup, that's my luck.
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0 so far but i only joined about a week ago :)WE WILL SEE!!!
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none in nearly 1,000 entries, almost done with this place. Not worth the time entering really at least things have gone better on the trading side of things.
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And yet after nearly 1000 entries, you haven't learned anything about statistics.
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Actually I have, your actual odds to win is based on how many entrees you make vs avg. number of entrees in each of those drawings. The avg. number of entrees for most of the ones I enter is below 500 so I have likely already passed my personal odds of winning a bit ago. This isn't unexpected though as I hardly ever win anything from pure luck. Also no I'm not bitter more like disappointed but as stated trading has proven to at least help me get some good deals so finding this site originally hasn't been a total loss.
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If most of your entries had been for giveaways with under 500 users, you would have a higher Estimated Wins. Since its still under 1, I'm going with more than 1000 in most of the giveaways you enter.
Anyway, lots of people go longer without wins. My first win was after about 1200 (pre EW, so not sure how high it was). Khalaq has over 2000 entries and over 14 EW without a win. Just keep trying.
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I'm not sure exactly how the estimated wins formula works but something doesn't add up. However you seem to be a long term member and don't seem to be just trying to take a jab at me as I first thought I will take your word on it. I'll probably hang around a while longer but my entrees are slowing down a lot due to I only enter for games I actually want to play not just collect.
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There isn't a lot of detail, but I mentioned a little about EWs in this small guide for users. Basically, enter 500 giveaways with 500 people every time, the amount added to your EW after each giveaway ends would add up to 1.
Check out the full guide, you might find out about some stuff you were unaware of, improve your chances a little.
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I once went on for 5 months without a single win . . . so yeah, per week.
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So you've won only one giveaway and you regifted it?
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13 in the last month, and 15 in the one before that. This is way higher than my average though as I joined an active private group. Usually it is around 2 per month.
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Only been here a week, but won 3 games so far. Hope that rate will be consistent ( ゚ Д゚)
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or per week?
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