Games that this account should have won, statistically

Yep same for me, i considered it a fun little meta game, once i won something i'd look at the number there and if i'd win again before it increased by 1 i'd consider myself extra lucky that day, it's also really good to keep your hopes up if you're only joining AAA giveaways since it might take months for you to actually join enough of them to win one.

But then we'd have to deal with all of the threads saying "i have 1.01 estimated wins where is my game". No matter what happens people are going to complain.