LarsDoucet: What I learned playing "SteamProphet" (not a game)

This is about a website currently in development : https://www.steamprophet.com
http://www.gamasutra.com/blogs/LarsDoucet/20170509/297708/What_I_learned_playing_quotSteamProphetquot.php
by Defender's Quest makers about "propheting" new Steam game releases.

Predicting

The predicting part of the game was inspired by the concept of "Superforecasters" -- a group of people who try to actually get better at predicting future events (a much-needed skill in our age of non-stop punditry). The basic gist of their method is:

1. Make clear, quantifiable, falsifiable predictions.

   • Bad: The economy will do better.
   • Good: The S&P 500 will close higher than 3000 points.

2. Set a maturation date for the prediction.

   • Bad: The economy will do better "soon"
   • Good: The S&P 500 will close higher than 3000 points on January 1, 2018

3. Keep score.

   • Go back and see if your predictions came true.
   • If not, try to figure out why you were wrong.

I am copy-pasting first email news I got from them today here : https://framabin.org/?ca8fb65e3fe751a7#90qqN9uE8MgUbAxXr/fB59q8mDcU+Zli5geFbxyjF00=
You can subscribe here https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSfSso9yzaazVmRBfXFuYFNuMcIGgWJyBpQqwPnCJ7X1jrHMgg/viewform