I now officially have 0 wins and 1500 losses

Only enter GA's with <400 Entries.

I've entered every Dont Starve ga since it came out. I've only had luck in my private groups. [minus deus ex:hr]

+1

Yes! We'd be happy to have 'em. LythKross should definitely apply for our lovely group. Sweetcuppincakes already has, and they were accepted.:)

Dammit! I am out!

There should be an achievement also for "Join a giveaway with more than 500 entries during its' last 15 seconds and win". I'd have gotten that with my recent win (Deponia) :D

Looks like I'm about to hit that. I've entered 982 giveaways since Galactic Arms Race.

Overall I've done pretty well, but since that last easy win, I haven't gotten anything.

haha wat :D

im much more unlucky than you... i even lost galactic arms race and i had a 86% chance to win

flarnot has reason to complain, you really don't. I have 15.56, and I won my last giveaway at 12.33 estimated wins, which means the program estimates that I should have won 3.23 giveaways since I won my last giveaways. For you, the program estimates that you should have won 1.93, which is below my number. If we look at flarnot, it has been 5.63 estimated wins since he won anything, so he is actually unlucky. It's not the number of entries that counts, because if you only enter giveaways that have 5000 entries for 1 copy of the game, you'll need a lot more entries before you're estimated to win anything.

A lot of wins I have are private giveaways, which means I solved a puzzle for it or I have some friends that are on SG and are giving away games. I have 13 wins and almost 5000 entries, but I've seen people with 1000 entries and 50-100 wins. It's all about the kind of giveaways you enter. If you only enter for AAA, public giveaways, you're not going to win all that often, but if you enter dev giveaways, bundle giveaways or private giveaways, you'll be more likely to win more often.

Also, I'm quite unlucky as well, I never won any dev giveaway, even the GAR one with 86% chance to win, and there have been giveaways with less than 10 entries that I've all lost. I've got some other wins to compensate for those, but flarnot is the unlucky one here

If you won a single giveaway you'd technically have better luck than me right now.

That's like saying you took 50$ to the casino. Won 50$. Lost 50$. Go home.
Some people would say to themselves that they walked out with 50$ less and not feel great.
Others would count themselves lucky that they didn't go into debt.
And the judgmental ones would be all judgmental.

And what happens where there are more copies of game to given away? Have you tried counting that?

They are talking about the giveaway for Galatic Arms Race done by the devs. There were 25k copies given away and 29k entries, ended up being around an 85% chance to win.

exactly :p