6 Gifts Won with 1.84 Estimated Wins

I don't expect to win anything soon... but I also thought that after the third a game a won lol.

11 years ago*

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Definitely not, your win/entries ratio is average.

11 years ago
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Thats average? Wow, I'm more unlucky than I thought then.

11 years ago
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Gifts Won
9
Estimated Wins
11.62

11 years ago
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Except that doesn't matter. The difference from estimated wins, which takes into account the number of players in each giveaway, does. And since Rutger's wins weren't in dozen-entry private/group GAs, I'd qualify a 4.14 positive difference in wins to expected wins as lucky.

Still not as lucky as that one person who won their very first entry though. Gotta find who that was.

11 years ago
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2 people who won starbound.

11 years ago
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Not sure you know what statistics is.

11 years ago
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Lucky to have won 6 giveaways, yes, congrats man :). BUT... from my point of view, all those games are weak indie/bundle games, witch gives them very little value in my eyes. I'd rather win 1 great game rather than 6 or more indie/bundle games, to be honest

11 years ago
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^This.

11 years ago
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So, you're the one who got my missing 1.58 games. :P

11 years ago
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Yes, you are the luckiest person in the world.

11 years ago
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He's lucky enough to have given away PA3 before today's free drop anyway.

11 years ago
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11 years ago
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lol

11 years ago
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Free drop? Can you explain?

11 years ago
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11 years ago
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This thread should explain everything.

11 years ago
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I think there is a guy who entered 1 giveaway and won it. Still, you're insanely lucky, but there are probably others who are luckier.

11 years ago
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I've seen a lot of accounts like that, rather fishy. Registered for 8 months, only joined one giveaway and won it

11 years ago
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Depend on what type of giveaways u entered, if u join private with no more than 10 participants 900 times u can win much more than if u join only public with 1k or more participants.

11 years ago
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All of my wins are from public giveaways.

11 years ago
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Type of giveaways? there's an estimate, and his wins are more than 3 times higher than the estimate, so no matter what giveaways he entered he is still damn lucky.

11 years ago
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If a person enters 900 giveaways with 10 participants each, they will get an estimated win of 90. That estimated win statistic takes into account the number of participant in each of the giveaway you entered.

11 years ago
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Not bad

11 years ago
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very lucky

11 years ago
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i have more than 1000 entries... 0 gifts won..

11 years ago
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I've been there

11 years ago
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11 years ago
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Your estimated wins are very close to your real wins, I wouldn't call you lucky.

11 years ago
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11 years ago
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Nah, I've seen luckier users. But congrats anyway.

11 years ago
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Making a screenshot t show his profile, lol, just lol. XDD

11 years ago
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exactly :DDD

11 years ago
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I took a screenshot because my estimated wins would change soon.

11 years ago
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Your face, god damnit

11 years ago
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RWJ?

11 years ago
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Mhm. So lucky.

11 years ago
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nope,low entries on the giveaways you won

11 years ago
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Invalid comment. Estimated wins is not based on entries but on entries in relation to average win chance. If his real wins are higher than the estimated ones statistically he was lucky.

11 years ago
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not bad at all.

11 years ago
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my friend won 5 games in two weeks (3 in one week)

11 years ago
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Depends on how you define luck. Merely by number of wins, difference between wins and estimate and is what is won also taken into account? Personally I consider myself quite fortunate too given that my number of wins exceeds the estimate and I have won some nice games (Fortix among them).

11 years ago
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ya, much luckier than me :D

11 years ago
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11 years ago
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Lucky...

11 years ago
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I don`t have a good "estimated" over "actual win" rate, but at least most of the games I won are awesome. :D

11 years ago
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Really lucky , gratz !

11 years ago
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I am way more lucky,I won BIOSHOCK INFINITE throws confetti

11 years ago
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me too :P

11 years ago
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lol you took a picture of your profile? like we'd accuse you of being fake..

11 years ago
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Gifts Won5
Estimated Wins1.95

11 years ago
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That makes me the unluckiest person on steamgifts.
Gifts Won 4
Estimated Wins 7.93
On top of that in last 6 months I won only Galactic Arms Race (25,000 Copies), can you beat that? No group, no contributor ($969.35) and no private giveaway. SG wont let me win. :P

11 years ago
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Closed 11 years ago by RutgerSpurs.