I'm under, but still consider myself lucky. Got some great wins in my list, though datacaps means I haven't even gotten to download everything.
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I just went over a few days ago cause i won a buncha group/private giveaways
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Oh man, Bastion is an amazing game. Like fuck, #1 favorite game.
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Most consider me lucky though my wins aren't too impressive and a couple of the games really weren't worth it.
I won Metro 2033 before all of the free giveaways on Facebook and such, and I can't even run the game without extreme lag!
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around a month ago I was at 4 wins with a little over 3 estimated, but now I'm at about 6 estimated and still have only 4
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Mh... my estimated is higher than my wins, but I still do win a lot of games, I've won 3 games in one day not too long ago and 2 games in one day this week =] I consider myself pretty lucky
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3.8% chance of getting that low or lower, ouch. I think that's the worst luck I've seen, Slappy.
Cris, it's basing it on the comparison the the estimated wins. By itself it'd be not that lucky to win a 1 in 6, but I've won far more games than you'd expect.
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This is the only place where I seem to be lucky, I am 2.57 over my estimated wins. Now I just have to find the time to play it all... I am eagerly awaiting the end of my semester.
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I'm coming up on that 3.30 with Galactic Arms Race being my only win. >.<
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2 wins(1 of which was fake)...about 5.something estimated. Yes, I'm very lucky. :D
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Estimated wins: 1.06
Proper wins: 2
Times I actually received the gift: 1
I guess I'm even, ignoring the technicality. Though the only reason I did win Metro 2033, is because it was being given away like crazy. I only recently started it, and am enjoying it though. That counts for something.
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Seeing as there's a group for people who've been unlucky, I thought we should at least have a thread for those of us lucky enough to be over our estimated wins.
If we pretend it's a poisson distribution, the chance of me getting at least 5 with a mean of 1.53 is about 2%, which means I've been pretty lucky just in terms of games wins. Of course, it's highly probable that there are people who've been far more lucky.
Anyway, to make myself feel better about my luck (and the person who referred me to this site), I need to find one of those people.
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