Batten down the hatches, powder monkeys! We got a coin shop starboard!
I dropped a key for a bad game and got Golem Creation Kit. A quite nice and fair exchange if you ask me. :)
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Bump for new games today. Prices are 5000 and 7500 coins.
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New games are added. Switchcars and Spaceship Looter.
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Estimated Stock:
- Spaceship Looter: 4970
- Switchcars: 3383
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It's estimated from the percentage remaining returned from the API. They return the result of (claimed/stock) without rounding, so it's possible to derive the total number of keys as people claim the reward and cause the number to change.
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When you only have the quotient how can you determine the value of 2 unknown variables?
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I simply brute force the number of stock so that it produces an integer when multiply with the percentage. Since the remaining and total may have a common divisor, I have to take many samples and get the lowest common multiple of all the estimated total stock.
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Switchcars looks like it may be interesting, but I'm not sure I want it for 5000 coins.
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| Game | Ratings | Cards | Bundled | Retail Price | Chrono.gg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willy-Nilly Knight | 77% of 150 reviews | ❤ | ? | $14,99 | 90% $1,49 |
created with Lex's SG Chart Maker
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I spent 7500 for Spaceship Looter and the key didn't work. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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Estimated total stock (not the amount left) for some of the remaining games:
Switchcars: 3383
The Deed: 4985
The Silent Age: 4970
Death's Hangover: 4970
Tribal Pass: 3970
Car Mechanic Simulator 2015: 4970
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A small update to the stock, and now with the number of keys left.
Switchcars: 1582/3383
The Deed: 4969/9970
The Silent Age: 1923/4970
Minion Masters: 2629/4970
Death's Hangover: 989/4970
Tribal Pass: 777/3970
Car Mechanic Simulator 2015: 723/4970
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King Arthur's Gold sold out.
Current estimated stocks:
Switchcars: 1227/3383
The Deed: 4851/9970
The Silent Age: 1849/4970
Minion Masters: 2609/4970
Death's Hangover: 958/4970
Tribal Pass: 745/3970
Car Mechanic Simulator 2015: 568/4970
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Switchcars: 965/3383
The Deed: 4744/9970
The Silent Age: 1777/4970
Minion Masters: 2580/4970
Death's Hangover: 919/4970
Tribal Pass: 718/3970
Car Mechanic Simulator 2015: 247/4970
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Switchcars: 801/3383
The Deed: 4676/9970
The Silent Age: 1736/4970
Minion Masters: 2560/4970
Death's Hangover: 901/4970
Tribal Pass: 702/3970
Car Mechanic Simulator 2015: 183/4970
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Spaceship Looter: 3789/4970
Switchcars: 713/3383
The Deed: 4597/9970
The Silent Age: 1707/4970
Minion Masters: 2552/4970
Death's Hangover: 891/4970
Tribal Pass: 688/3970
Car Mechanic Simulator 2015: 148/4970
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Spaceship Looter: 3431/4970
Switchcars: 626/3383
The Deed: 4545/9970
The Silent Age: 1672/4970
Minion Masters: 2544/4970
Death's Hangover: 880/4970
Tribal Pass: 668/3970
Car Mechanic Simulator 2015: 91/4970
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Looks like they sent new keys for Spaceship Looter
Hey! We had a little hiccup on Friday with the Spaceship Looter keys on the coin shop. As many of you noticed, they were showing as duplicate keys when you attempted to redeem them on Steam. We've placed a new key for you below, apologies for the mixup. Let us know if you have any issues!
P.S. If your key worked just fine, feel free to give this key to a friend. :)
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Car Mechanic Simulator 2015 sold out
Spaceship Looter: 3120/4970
Switchcars: 481/3383
The Deed: 4449/9970
The Silent Age: 1616/4970
Minion Masters: 2518/4970
Death's Hangover: 847/4970
Tribal Pass: 629/3970
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Thank you for these updates! Do you think I should put the numbers in the chart?
Also, how do you know the total number of keys? I can't find this info.
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I guess it would be nice to include them, but note that these numbers are estimates.
How I obtained them is explained in this comment https://www.steamgifts.com/go/comment/wNtXcnR
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Spaceship Looter: 3018/4970
Switchcars: 426/3383
The Deed: 4404/9970
The Silent Age: 1589/4970
Minion Masters: 2504/4970
Death's Hangover: 826/4970
Tribal Pass: 611/3970
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Spaceship Looter: 2956/4970
Switchcars: 365/3383
The Deed: 4375/9970
The Silent Age: 1563/4970
Minion Masters: 2494/4970
Death's Hangover: 808/4970
Tribal Pass: 595/3970
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Spaceship Looter: 2874/4970
Switchcars: 284/3383
The Deed: 4333/9970
The Silent Age: 1534/4970
Minion Masters: 2481/4970
Death's Hangover: 787/4970
Tribal Pass: 573/3970
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Bump for new games today. Prices are 4000 and 5000 coins.
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And I still have today, and two more days left to get my Legendary Chest and to have 4000+ coins. I don't know if I'll make it before the keys run out... >_<
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Either of the games will run out in 1 day for sure.
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Spaceship Looter which were added with Switchcars sold out fast. Freaking Meatbags which were added with The Silent Age also got sold out fast, Overfall did took some time, though.
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That's some carefully nitpicked data to support your "for sure" claim. Don't try to set up connections when there's nothing guaranteed. People want the good games. Period.
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You are right - demand is driven by how good the game is, and whether the game has been bundled before, and how many people already own the game. So far, Chrono has been great at including at least one of them almost every coin shop update, which leads to my overgeneralized conclusion above.
Here are some dirty data based on my vague memory, not very precise, but at least, we can get an overall impression of past trends:
Apr 6: Spaceship Looter sold out in a day or two at most
Mar 23: Freaking Meatbags sold out in a day or two
Mar 8: Mini Metro sold out in a day.
Feb 23: Can't quite remember, since I own both games. SEUM sold out first, but didn't remember how many days it took.
Feb 9: Gone Home sold out first, then BUTCHER, I think around a few days
Jan 26: Both games took a long time to sell out.
Jan 12: Type:Rider sold out rather quickly.
Dec 29: Both games are still available
Dec 15: It took a while for one of the game to sell out.
Dec 1: Car Mechanic Simulator only sell out a few days ago
Nov 27: Pooper took a while to sell out.
Nov 16: Aurion sold out in a few days
Nov 3: iO sold out quickly
Oct 20: A Blind Legend sold out in a few days
Oct 6: Can't quite remember.
Sep 22: MechaNika sold out in a day or two
Sep 7: Verdict Guilty sold out quickly
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Tendencies, maybe, trends require connection between points of data. With changing number of copies, coin- and store-prices, genres and audiences it's a stretch that there is any trend that gives useful information about the future. It's really not worth pondering on. One can not prepare for weird things like Mini Metro selling out in less than two hours, or khm Spaceship Looter still having 58% of the keys on store. And Switchcars is still available as well. Don't try to force a system on something that has no system, that's like trying to set up a trend on couples who enter a restaurant on Valentine's days, about their height and hair colour, then trying to predict the looks of the next one. Averages only work backwards, and trends only apply on systems where there is a mathematical / empirical correlation between points.
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Agree with your point, since those data alone doesn't take into account any of the factors that drive or dampens the demand on the game. I should have said "Be prepared to be disappointed if the game you want get sold out in a day".
Spaceship Looter was declared sold out last week, but I'm not sure if the game actually sold out, or they disabled the game (due to duplicate key complaints) to add a new batch of keys.
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It was sold out in around a day, then added back one week ago when a bunch of keys turned out duplicate. I'm not entirely sure if it was a forced disable switch, though
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I have 4.1k coins and 2 days to Epic Chest, so gotta see what games are for 4 and 5k, if 5k is something I want I will hope that it doesn't run out in one day as in 2 days I should have 5k (unless I'm extremelly unlucky with Epic Chest ;p)
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I'm in almost the same position, but with 4064 coins and the epic chest coming in today. I'll need 936 coins from the chest and the daily 20+. Hopefully the 5k game is trash, if I should be unlucky. ;)
Edit: My usual RNG. At least I don't mind passing the games
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Does anyone know what time they usually reveal the new games? By that I mean, the time of day, not which day.
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Shortly after they replace their daily deal, at 6 pm CET.
Or simply said: In 3 hours from now., if time zone calculations cause too much trouble. ;)
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Thanks. All I needed was a time, doesn't matter the zone, as Google does the translation to my local.
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Tengami and Draw a Stickman: EPIC are available now.
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Still nothing that I'm interested in. I guess I'll save my 13,000 coins for another time.
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Well, it looks like I won't miss much. Back to farming coins then! :P
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I decided to try Tengami since I was on 20,000 coins XD it looks nice
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I wonder how much prices grow on chrono.gg. At the beginning of site, still unbundled (besides HB monthly) Brigador + DLC had price 5000 chrono coins. Now 5$ Tengami costs same 5000 coins... So weird
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Brigador was in a Groupees bundle before Chrono/Humble (that's where I got mine).
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From my observation, Chrono.gg doesn't affect bundle status on SteamGifts.
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for example
https://www.steamgifts.com/bundle-games/search?q=Action%20Henk - Bundled Mar 9, 2018 (added to chrono at the same day)
Looks like support just forgot about Brigador ¯ \\ (ツ) / ¯
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No idea then. Perhaps we need a thread to sort it out how to handle Chrono's case.
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It's a specific number, like 90-95% off that it has to be for it to be considered bundled. So even if an unbundled game goes on sale that low, the site counts it as bundled. How it's done with bundles (if I'm not mistaken) is the total MSRP of the bundle's individual games gets compared to the price of the bundle to see the % discount per game. That's why some tier 3 games don't get bundled while some monthlies do.
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I know about that rule, but I'm referring to about Chrono's coin shop, which doesn't cost real money. None of the existing rule states anything about whether games in Chrono coin shop should affect their bundle status.
And there are 2 conflicting cases here:
- Action Henk's bundle date is set to Chrono's coin shop release date
- Brigador + DLC is not considered bundled, even though it was included in Chrono's coin shop.
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My bad, not sure how I misunderstood that to be referring to regular bundled games. Must be getting tired.
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In the Groupees bundle it was in a higher tier (but it was available with coins). Games in the highest tier don't always get added to the bundle list, can happen with Humble's T3 or the Humble Monthly as well.
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Chrono.gg - Coin Shop
New games every 2 weeks
NextLast batch: 29 May 2020 18:00 CETView this bundle on: Barter.vg
These items can be bought only with Chrono.gg Coins.
Here's how to get them:
Latest game additions:
29 May:
Iconoclasts- 18000 (sold out after a few minutes)The Hex- 10000Moon Hunters- 13000X-Morph: Defense- 15000Space Beast Terror Fright- 13000 (sold out after a few minutes)COIN SHOP CLOSES JUNE 29TH
A table with the remaining stock was once here.
Games available:
None
No longer available:
Coin Shop - 2018 games
☠ - Game was free at some time and does not grant any CV if given away.
Are you interested in knowing other ongoing bundles? Feel free to check out the new master thread!
Wondering what games you already own from this bundle? There's an extension/UserScript for that! It's called the RaChart٠Enhancer!
Thanks to luckz for the poll answers!
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