HI, I've been a member of steamgifts for 2 months.
I have entried 1000 giveaways, I have almost 2 estimated wins and 0 gifts won. So I'm a little bit unlucky
I have also given away 2 gifts.

Anybody knows? :)

11 years ago*

Comment has been collapsed.

no

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

There are alot of groups which you can join, I would recommend joining some big groups and talk in chat after some time you'll get invited to a private group (if lucky)

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

thanks, I'll try :)

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

You're not unlucky at all. Stop entering giveaways with 1,000+ entrants, and you might win

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

If he has almost 2 estimated wins, he could call himself unlucky.

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

My estimated is 5 more than my my actual wins, but I'm not unlucky.

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

Why?

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

If you enter 10 giveaway with 1000 entrants, the odds of winning are the same as when entering 1 giveaways of 100 entrants, and that's what's taken into consideration when the site reveals the "estimated wins", so the argument that the problem is entering giveaways with 1000+ entrants doesn't really make sense.

When you have more estimated wins than actual wins, you're unlucky, because it means someone else (the winners) may have more actual wins than estimated wins, which are the lucky people (like me).

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

Yeah, i know. But having like 1 more estimated win doesn't make you unlucky... check my profile, i don't consider myself unlucky at all

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

Statistically I'd still say "unlucky", but in general, this subject should be more complex, for example, considering the value and rarity of games won or given (eg: giving some AAA title and winning a bunch of bundled games).

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

If you entered 1 GA with 1000 entrants, your estimated wins would be .001.
If you entered 1 GA with 100 entrants, your estimated wins would be .01. So, ten GA with 100 entrants would give you estimated wins of .01 x 10 = .1.

So, no, the odds aren't the same at all, unless you meant it the other way around (entering 10 GAs of 1000 vs 1 GA of 100)

If all you worry about is luck and how high your estimated wins are you also need to factor in points.
Basically you would need to enter into the cheapest GAs with the fewest entrants.

On the other hand, one game you want is worth 100s of games you don't, IMO.

I use this site as a way to get games I wouldn't normally get on my limited budget, and once I can start buying games again online, probably to get rid of any games I get in a cheap bundle I don't want/have already

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

Indeed, I changed the entries, hehe, thanks for correcting...

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

I'm almost 2 wins behind my estimated stat. Wouldn't call myself unlucky.

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

There's "Won under 5 giveaways".

In any case, just keep trying. When you reach 3 months, if you haven't won yet there's another group for you. Check the first page of the forum.

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

I'll totally listen to it entirely.

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

I did see a group called whiny bitches somewhere.

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

Wow some people are so rude.

The guy isn't begging, he has contributed, and he's looking for a group to help him win a game.

The thing is, there are groups out there specifically for this purpose; so maybe lay off the guy?

Cherry-Poppers and S.Losers (where I won my first game) are no longer running. OP: maybe try these guys. (Though you may not meet their requirements yet.)

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

This.

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

SIHT

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

But he did make me laugh. Maybe he was just being funny.

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

I prefer girls.

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

omg another whine thread about no winning ;/

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

Nope, he's specifically asking for a "cherry-poppers" type group, not whining about no wins.

These groups do exist, so it's a legit question.

Reading is hard.

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

THIS

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

THAT

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

THES

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

HEST

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

Enter moar giveaways! You'll win something eventually.

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

or just play more Payday

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

just put unlucky on the search feature

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

my friend it does happen ;)

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

Generally, I think a good way to win aside from joining a group is use the SteamGifts Plus add-on and filter giveaways so only the ones with a .25% chance of winning or better show up, which is a 1 in 400 chance.

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

Unless you enter them at the very last second, you will have no idea of what the final odds are though.

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

That's true, but usually based on when it was created and how many entries it has gotten over that time, you can make a rough estimate.

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

There are some.

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

There's a need for people like you, but not you specifically.

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

Meanie! </3

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

same here... i really never win! :( anyway there was a group for people like you and me, but now it is closed i kinda remember

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

I suggest trying out the puzzles on the forums and stuff. I've only won one prize so far and that's because I was the only entry in the giveaway!

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

dude, i had 3 estimated wins with 0 actual, but look at me now :D

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

Another one? -_-;

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

The people here who are complaining about you are used to people complaining about not winning and are too stupid to understand that your post is about another topic. Just try to ignore them. There are groups for people like you, but I personally don't know what they are. Search for "unlucky" in the forums and for "cherry popper."

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

Closed 11 years ago by steamgiftsarecool.