Steam summer getaway card investing.

Do you also invest / hold on to steam summer getaway cards hoping that they will rise in value in the future?

Here's my list of investments and my toughts on how good they are to invest in.

I use "RS" in my text, this means (current) "Rarity score". The higher the better.

Edit: added this for the haters :P

For the haters: There are let's say 500 foil cards avaiable of each kind. Atm >30 cards are sold each hour.

Let's say the cards avaiable in the market are only 5% of those that are ready to sell. That would equal 10.000 foil cards of each kind. Let's say that demand would drop A LOT (unlikely to be so much) to 1 buy each hour. = 24 a day (let's take 25 to make it easier). That means that after 40 days 1000 foils have been sold. Which is 10% of total supply. A more realistic estimate is that 20% of the total supply of foils might already be sold the first month. Do I have to tell you what that does to the value of the cards?

'1. Foil cards.

(+) Limited supply (~500 on sale)

(+) Considered valuable (foil)

(+) Already going up a bit

(-) High cost

(-) Limited room to raise in price

• Prison architect: nothing special. (-) RS: 2
• Dead island riptide: nothing special. (-) RS: -0.6
• Football manager: too many of them, most common one. (---) RS: -8.2
• Skyrim: popular game (that's why it's more expensive?) (+) RS: 1.3
• Bioshock: popular game (that's why it's more expensive?) (+) RS: 3.6
• Chivalry: most rare, has a good chance to become the most valuable one in the future due to less cards avaiable. (+++) RS: 10.6
• Kerbal space program: nothing special. (-) RS: -1.2
• Tomb raider: too many of them. (--) -7.4
• Reus: nothing special. (-) 1.9
• Torchlight: nothing special. (-) -1.9

'2. Emoticons.

(+) Cheap

(+) Can easely double, triple, quadruple, ... your investment when they get more expensive

(-) High supply

(-) Rather low demand

• :B1: Can be bought at lowest price, supply > demand. This emoticon has potential and due to low price u have nothing to lose. (+/-)
• :D: Popular emoticon in usage, lowest price. This emoticon has potential and due to low price u have nothing to lose. (+)
• :postcardf: Too many, low demand, lowest price. (--)
• :plane: Too many, low demand, lowest price. (--)
• :postcardb: Too many, low demand, lowest price. (--)
• :bag: Rare but not popular emoticon. (++)
• :steamwings: Rare, decent demand, low amount avaiable, symbol for the summer getaway sales, price less good but might become very expensive in the future. (+++)

'3. "Sale" backgrounds

(+) Cheap

(+) Can easely double, triple, quadruple, ... your investment when they get more expensive*

(-) High supply

(-) Rather low demand

(-) Not consumable

(-) *Not likely to become more valuable any time soon (if ever)

Chivalry: nothing special, lowest price (---)
Skyrim: rare, low supply, demand is ok, expensive (+)
Bioshock: popular (+)
Prison architect: rare, low supply (+)
Tomb raider: uncommon, low supply, low price (+)
Torchlight2: Rare, lowest supply, ok price (+++)
Kerbal space program: nothing special, lowest price (---)

'4. 'Normal' summer getaway cards

(+) Everybody can craft the same badge 5 times

(+) High demand

(-) A LOT of them avaiable

(-) Porbably less badges crafted after the summer event

(-) expensive compared to the amount avaible

In my opinion the only one worth buying is Skyrim because there are the least of them.

My investments:

Foils: (24€)

12 x Chivalry;
5 x Prison architect;
2 x Skyrim;
1 x Reus;
1 x Bioshock

'Normal' summer cards: (10€)

75 x Skyrim;
10 x Reus;
2 x Chivalry (not bought)

Emo's: (11€)

24 x :steamwings:;
50 x :D:;
30 x :B1:;
20 x :bag:;
10 x :plane: (wasted);
10 x :postcardb: (wasted);
10 x :postcardf: (wasted)

Sale backgrounds: (8€)

15 x Chivalry (wasted);
10 x Kerbal (wasted);
10 x Torchlight;
10 x Tombraider;
5 x Bioshock;
5 x Prison architect;
5 x Skyrim;
30 x steam getaway map;

Postcard backgrounds: (probably all wasted exept maybe football) (5,5€)

20 x bioshock;
20 x chivalry;
10 x dead uskabd;
30 x football;
10 x kerbal;
10 x prison;
10 x reus;
20 x skyrim;
10 x torchlight;
20 x tombraider