Steam summer getaway card investing.

For the haters:
There are let's say 500 foil cards avaiable of each kind.
Atm >30 cards are sold each hour.

Let's say the cards avaiable in the market are only 5% of those that are ready to sell.
That would equal 10.000 foil cards of each kind.
Let's say that demand would drop A LOT (unlikely to be so much) to 1 buy each hour. = 24 a day (let's take 25 to make it easier).
That means that after 40 days 1000 foils have been sold. Which is 10% of total supply.
A more realistic estimate is that 20% of the total supply of foils might already be sold the first month.
Do I have to tell you what that does to the value of the cards?

The emoticons and backgrounds will remain worthless, they are not consumable and will not disappear once used.

no but i just need 1 more card to craft the badge and get some items

I just got 2 foils in a row :3 I love my luck

Everyone who wants badges is obtaining them while the supply is plentiful and therefore cost is low. Those who aren't interested are selling, and aren't likely to be buying in the future. I don't see who this post-sale market is going to consist of. Folks who were hospitalised during the summer sale? The crew of te ISS when they return to earth an realise they missed Valve's finest hour? Amnesiacs who keep forgetting they have aleady crafted their badges? Demand is dropping as people successfully complete ther badges. Without any demand, scarcity of supply is irrelevant.

There are 35k+ of each regular summer card, so no. I'm not gonna be bothered with keeping the cards in my inventory for over a year and hope for a massive increase in price which may or may not (most likely option imo) happen. Even if it did happen, the increase would have to be huge to make any significant profit.

Story might be different with foils, but I doubt it. People who care about them most likely have bought them already.

meh, I crafted portal 2 badge then I sold all the others and got cash for the summer sale. $8 profit was my best for one card. Zack Zero was pretty good also. I sold my cards for more than I paid for the game on the card/badge launch day.

Only doing a bit of foil speculation here.
One of each on the market, and two more that I got cheap as "price alerts" so I know if the price is getting closer to my hopeful target. Ideally, they'll pay for themselves, and one extra copy, and then some. If they only pay for themselves and a copy, meh... that'll be alright. And if they pay only for themselves... then... damn! But, I think I'll at least get the 2-for-1 price, since they'll be in limited quantities. 500-600 on the market doesn't seem like a lot, but who knows.

To all the haters, prices are already starting to rise and the summer sales are not over yet. Maybe we did a good investiment? I am sure it is!

Bitches gonna bitch, winners gonna win

there are +30.000 cards on the market... don't expect too much :P

its all up to chance so basically they might go up but they might not and there is little data to use so all of this is just speculation ironically the cards don't really have practical value but i'm not selling them yet because i wouldn't make a big profit now if i sold them and i don't need the credit

I don't have funds to purchase any cards, but I do think it's a great idea. I got 2 mysterious cards at the time and purchased 3 more for 0.5 eur, and then sold all five for 2-3 eur each on the first day of sales.

I can only wonder what price will have those cards once everyone knows there's no new drops and only way to craft a prestige summer badge is to buy them from people who invested smartly.

:steamwings: 4x profit mark

great sums up, just got the steamwings emo yesterday after crafting, might keep it for awhile b4 selling it. :P

It's a big waste of your time. Better go to your books and learn something that would give you real money in the future.

LOL you have so much free time.. nothing else to do ? :O haha

Its extremely simple...Lets see:

1.Game cards(imo) will remain worthless because they will keep dropping and people would have x possibilities to acquire them.

2.In the case of summer cards,here I strongly believe they will increase highly in value,very simple why:because with everything in this world,as there are less copies of the product,the product increases in value,in our case players wont have the possiblity to further acquire the cards(it means that they will become limited) and as steam its getting more and more players every SECOND!...especially that type of players(UGH...A Tf2 hat!??..how much you say??? 500 dollars? SO CHWWEAP!?? Cam to papa!!),they will see the badge there and will want to complete it because,lets be serious,there are many people wanting to acquire as many shiny badges as possible...so the demand will remain constant,even increase while the cards will decrese in number=PROFITTTT!! $$$$$$$$$!! CAsh...monyzzz...EIUROSSS..and however you want to call it..

tl;dr= gimmie all your cards cus Ill get lots of cash from them(summer ones,the rest you can stick them up yur ****)

Sorry for the bad english,Im not native

At the close of the sale, as a BUNCH of speculators buy up all the cards (raising their price), all of them hoping to make a profit on little Jimmy at some point down the road, there are a few questions to ponder.

1) Who is going to tell little Jimmy about the past Summer Sale set to make him want it?
2) What is going to make little Jimmy desire to purchase the old set when he can easily buy the Winter 2013 set or the Summer 2014 set RIGHT NOW? Without having to deal with a bunch of speculators to collect an old set.
3) When the card system is no longer new, and everyone is tired of it and inundated with cards, what is going to make little Jimmy want to get even more cards on top of what he already has?
4) Will little Jimmy attach a large value to having a bunch of badges when he can only display one?
5) If he can only display one badge, will the Steam Summer Salves Event badge be worth more to little Jimmy than all of the other badges he can get and display? To make him want to spend big money on that badge instead of one of the others.

And a few other questions do arise.
1) Will the hordes of speculators blow the price up past the value that people actually attach to the cards?
2) Is this going to be another "rare" collection like Home Shopping Network coin sets?

They are already going up. Only 3-5 cents (normal ones) but it's something.

Seeing as Skyrim Foil is 4.39€ already, that's about tripe the price I bought it for.

Putting all foil cards together, I'd get some over twice the price I paid. That's okay :D

How sad people wasting money on virtual cards valve is laughing all the way to the bank fools

Price of Skyrim summer getaway cards has almost tripled from 0.12$ to 0.31$.
Other summer getaway cards, price has almost doubled.

The average sales per interval have doubled and then some since the end of the sale. This shows one of two things, either everyone was dumb and waited until the end to craft badges or it's just a bunch of resellers buying from each other.

I believe if there was a demand for them, you would have seen higher volumes sold while the sale was active. I strongly feel that the "demand" is all from resellers with deeper pockets.

Many people dumping :p
I've decided to hold on to mine. Cuz u never know how much it drops before it raises again.