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These are your chances of winning!

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PDLArg

I've seen many complaints from people who say this site is a scam, so I decided to make this post for you to see what are your chances of winning depending on the amout of entries giveaways have.

Giveaway with 100 entries:
Your entry = 1% chances to win -------------- 99% loss ratio

Giveaway with 200 entries:
Your entry = 0.5% chances to win ------------ 99.5% loss ratio

Giveaway with 500 entries:
Your entry = 0.2% chances to win ------------ 99.8% loss ratio

Giveaway with 1000 entries:
Your entry = 0.1% chances to win ------------ 99.9% loss ratio

Giveaway with 2000 entries:
Your entry = 0.05% chances to win ----------- 99.95% loss ratio

Giveaway with 5000 entries:
Your entry = 0.02% chances to win ----------- 99.98% loss ratio

This shows that you need to be really lucky even for winning a 100 entries giveaway.
SteamGifts has lots of members and that's why it may seem you'll never win, but just be patient.
Remember this post the next time you enter a giveaway!

In any case the site could be renamed to TestYourLuck.com huh? Hope this info was useful!

10 years ago*

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26 Comments
K3W3L

eh, it'll be buried under a tsunami of new threads in no time :)

(and besides, for those people that this post is targeted to, they more often than not don't read the forums, so it won't quite help to curb "WHY I HAVN WUN YET" posts :P)

10 years ago
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PDLArg

I guess you're right, maybe I should have called the thread "Free games" so that they would read it

10 years ago
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DAJ01

Did someone say "free games"?

10 years ago
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PDLArg

yeah, I'm giving away Team Fortress 2 early access keys

10 years ago
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DAJ01

Oh man, I'm gonna open so many early access crates.

10 years ago
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Actionhank

gib mi bitcher 2 asasins of kengs plz

10 years ago
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K3W3L

a game where i can play as someone who does nothing but bitch all day? shut up and take my money! :3

10 years ago
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Artki

Thanks for the Skyrim!

10 years ago
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partypooperwastaken

gr8 math m8 i r8 8/8%

10 years ago
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whitdemon

YOU KNOW MATH?! WOW OMG TOP DOG NOW

10 years ago
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makromatee

Okay!

10 years ago
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kuNg

now to confuse the kids: In each giveaway you have the same chance to win as everyone else.

10 years ago
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JoaoWho

except if you give every user shadows of mordor

10 years ago
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RazorSharpGaming

you sir, deserve a medal

10 years ago
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jatan11t
(Super Moderator)

What's a percentage? I think people who don't understand chances to win don't understand percentages.

10 years ago
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AtomicWoodchuck

Even when the chances of winning were laid out in black and white with an "expected wins" figure, there was still no shortage of card-carrying lobotomites who whined and moaned that they had entered over 20 giveaways since joining, and had lost all hope of winning a game.

You can take a moron to maths, but you can't make him/her ingest its meaty goodness...

10 years ago
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Khazadson

"I'd rather have a bottle in front of me than a frontal lobomoty!" Not really relevant but I always enjoyed that quote and coincidentally am enjoying a nice bottle of Founder's Porter

On topic, though

10 years ago
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yeeiser

Last giveaway I won was almost 6 months ago, I'm starting to think that may be I'm not very lucky....

10 years ago
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RVK250

Accidentally deleted my post.

Basically, we should not be ashamed or discouraged to post stuff like this every now and again. You never know who it will help.

You never hear 100% of the people who don't complain.

10 years ago
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Tychox

I applaud your helpful, if rather innocent, nature.

10 years ago
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shibabul

Good stuff. I've never bothered to count the percentage at all. Part of the reason is because I'm bad at math. Like Homer bad.

10 years ago
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Zomby
(Ultra Moderator)

That's one thing I like about the Steamgifts+ add-on, it does the math for me. :P

10 years ago
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axel231231

What I wouldent give for improblility drive right now. But those percentages wont get me very far so maby not.

10 years ago
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LeilaCora

It is simple. (1 / number of entries) * 100% :)

10 years ago
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YourCat

more simple than that, just whait to win T.T

10 years ago
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shibabul

So I should just buy the game?

10 years ago
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