Your Estimated Wins vs Actual Wins: How Lucky are ya?

That's weird. I've got pretty much the same entries and even more CV than you and yet your estimated win ratio is higher than mine. How does that work?

10 years ago

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Undac

he entered giveaways with less participants* than you did

*entries

10 years ago

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MP5

I see. I thought it was just based on the number of entries and the CV in general.

10 years ago

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Alientcp

it is based on the probability to win a giveaway. say he enters a giveaway with only 10 persons, he has .10% of winning.

Once you pile up giveaways with small entries, his estimated win ratio will go up considerably.,

10 years ago

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MP5

Thanks for letting me know!

10 years ago

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Undac

Gifts Won 13
Estimated Wins 19.70

10 years ago

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MP5

Entered: 9544

Won: 12

Estimated: 17.90

10 years ago

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BlastedOff

Giveaways Entered1,483
Gifts Won6
Estimated Wins4.05

10 years ago

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Marok13

Giveaways Entered:
3,865
Gifts Won:
3
Estimated Wins:
8.24

10 years ago

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skalondon

Giveaways Entered: 9,953
Gifts Won: 91
Estimated Wins: 104.50

10 years ago

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way2tired

-15.56

10 years ago

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Sisyphus

Lots of private and group giveaways will really skew the numbers against you. I have a couple thousand more entries, but a fraction of your wins.

10 years ago

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ozo2003

i stole 5 wins from someone :D

10 years ago

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EtoDemerzel

So that's where they went!

10 years ago

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Mew2

Thief™!

10 years ago

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Sisyphus

Giveaways Entered - 8,274
Gifts Won - 12
Estimated Wins - 15.64

10 years ago

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Exsound

Giveaways Entered - 2,393
Gifts Won - 17
Estimated Wins - 16.54

10 years ago

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G33K95

Giveaways Entered-1,884
Gifts Won-16
Estimated Wins-13.40

"Lucky I am" ~Master Yoda said.

10 years ago

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Duduzaum

Giveaways Entered - 1,177

Gifts Won - 1

Estimated Wins - 1.88

10 years ago

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atb85

Registered 1 year ago
Giveaways Entered 7,406
Gifts Won 22
Estimated Wins 15.40

That's right, I'm the one stealing your wins. ^,...,^

10 years ago

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Sisyphus

Only two of your wins were giveaways that I entered, so I'll forgive it.

10 years ago

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Miladdarren

Giveaways Entered : 209

Gifts Won : 1

Estimated Wins : 0.21

I'm so lucky I think

10 years ago

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tiozor

Entered - 140
Estimated - 0.13
Won - 0

Guess I have a long way ahead until get some wins...
G_G'

10 years ago

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Azraeil

Giveaways Entered : 10k

Gifts Won : 21

Estimated Wins : 21.6

10 years ago

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Ruaben

I'm not that lucky, but it could be worse, right, RIGHT?

10 years ago

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Khalaq

(Senior Moderator)

Right.

10 years ago

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GoonerGoonz

176 Entries, 1 won. I just won F.E.A.R 3 but the guy who does the give hasn't delivered yet and I'm getting worried, i think this guy doesnt going to deliver.

10 years ago

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Tyrogus

Giveaways Entered: 2,121

Gifts Won: 1

Estimated Wins: 3.52

And that single "won" gift was a duplicated key.

10 years ago

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migo604