How many more - or less - "gifts than estimated" did you win?
Overall I'm at +1 now and 3.46 this month :) This month has been very kind to me. Lowest has been in February with -5.87.
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BTW, one more question to the veterans among us: For today (i.e., the current day) the odds of winning always show two values, a higher and a lower one, the lower one being dotted and leading to the future odds. Can somebody explain what that means?
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solid line is for GAs that already ended (your historical odds), dotted for still active ones - current probability of winning something on each day in the future
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Ah, that makes sense. Thank you for the clarification. :)
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Exactly. For example, I got 4% of winning for giveaways, that already ended today and 3% for winning giveaways, that will end today.
Next sunday shows me 100% of winning. I'll see. :D
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"Overall, you've been unlucky, and won 1 less gift than estimated since you first joined."
Looks not too shabby. If you considder a flat line to be a pretty thing
Luck always hovering below the zero line with some periods with a glimpse of green, but that's it.
Not giving up though. :steamhappy:
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Oh man, mine is -1.3... Looking at the votes, it saddens. I won't even read the thread. :)))
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Don't worry. If you'd read the thread, then you'd find out that many people have a high variance, their values drastically changing each month. So next month you might look much better, who nose? :)
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No worry here. Will see, thank you for the kind words. :)
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Overall, you've been unlucky, and won 6 less gifts than estimated since you first joined.
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overall: -11
highest: +0.88
lowest: -3.61
current: -3.50
I'm really unlucky I guess
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Overall, you've been unlucky, and won 4 less gifts than estimated since you first joined.
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That's really flat. And pointing up, so it's getting better. :)
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"Luck" is kind of a misnomer. It isn't luck when you grind through an arduous puzzle train and get a bunch of games because most people didn't bother. My "luck" in public GAs is terrible, like most people.
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It's still luck that the site is reporting, no matter how you got to the giveaway. Either way, the RNG is used-- the only question is how much luck it required for you to win. For that arduous puzzle train, there may only be 5 entries who persevered. If you lose, that's -0.2 gifts you "should" have won. If you win, it's only +0.8. If it's a public GA with 1,000 entries, then losing gives you -0.001, and winning gives you +0.999.
Not sure if I explained it clearly...but luck is the correct word since it's only showing how much you should have won based on probability.
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overall: -16
highest: +1.92
lowest: -5.32
current: -1.08
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If you give just one Steam key of a game you don't need and got from a bundle or somewhere else, you'll be already level 1 and have access to many more giveaways.
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overall: +10
highest: +3.75
lowest: -1.67
current: -1.67
But the "Probability of Winning Per Day" graph shows me a 100% winning chance for May, 22nd! :D
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I don't like where this is going :D
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Yes. And with Steamgifts Premium you can even reach blue, purple, and gold. ;)
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overall: -8
highest: +0.62
lowest: -2.49
current: -1.91
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yay! measuring fake points again :)
pretty lucky tho, spikes are mostly after some events/puzzles
wonder if that will grant me few more BL lolz..
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I've been crazy lucky this past month. Gonna have to make up for it soon.
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If you click on "my stats", among other things you get a graph showing your current luck in winning games. Below 0 is in red, above 0 is in green. I'm curious: What's your current "luck per month" and what was your highest/lowest value in history?
Ah, and here's a small giveaway for your trouble: https://www.steamgifts.com/giveaway/68xK0/hacker-evolution
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