Less than 50, but it was a 10-copy DLC lol, and a few months ago.
I won a second, but the guy made is a private giveaway and nobody else ended up entering except me o_O I don't think he knew how to distribute the link properly. I think he was trying to let people enter who weren't members of the site.
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It was definitely into the 400s. And it was just an exploited Eets key.
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We can make a statistical analysis. Currently the system stats show about a 0.2% chance of winning public gift. Using statstical analysis we can determine a few things assuming this 0.2% chance.
At around 350 submissions you have an approximately 50% chance of winning
Note that in June 2011 when the stats were around 1%, you would hit the 50% mark at around 75 submission
The math is basically (1 - (1- %towin/100)^#ofentries)*100 = % to win by # of entries
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I don't remember exactly, but I think it was 70 or 80 entries before my first win.
I guess that makes me one of the lucky ones, seeing how many people have gone over 300 entries without winning. Of course, being in a good private group helps a lot...
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Lucky #340. Been here from the start when giveaways had less than 300 entries. Never really expected to win but I'm chuffed that I did.
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Got lucky and got one early? Or had to wait a while? Discuss :3
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