Is it me or am I unlucky in giveaways?
Giveaways Entered 309
Gifts Won 0

11 years ago*

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you can see in your estimated wins and it is in a half so you are not unlucky (yet XD)

11 years ago
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ive gifted games to people with lower estiamted win ratios than me, and entered into draws with less than 100 people, so i would jsut consider myself unlucky... but i am also an avid money spender and would much rather drop the 1-10$ on a game than enter 1000 draws for the chance to win a game...

not to sound ungrateful, the odds are just not in your favor here... and i jsut dont really care.. i suppose one day ill win and be estatic but until then ill jsut keep on keeping on

11 years ago
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Idk whether you're unlucky or not. The thing I do know is you're getting a special tag by me for my eyes that only 2 other people have gotten so far since I have had to reinstall Windows.

11 years ago
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Probability is a measure or estimation of how likely it is that something will happen. Probabilities are given a value between 0 (0% chance or will not happen) and 1 (100% chance or will happen). The higher the degree of probability, the more likely the event is to happen, or, in a longer series of samples, the greater the number of times such event is expected to happen.

Now look at your profile and look at estimated wins.

Now that you know what probability is then you can see where they get your estimated wins from. See when you enter a giveaway you have a chance to win that game based on the amount being given away and the amount of people entering. Your estimated wins are based on all of the giveaways you have entered and the probability of you winning those giveaways. Enter giveaways with less people = higher probability of winning. Enter giveaways with more people = lesser probability of winning.

Anybody feel free to copy and paste this as a response to the next 10-15 forum topics that pop up about this same subject.

11 years ago
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I've bookmarked this and will copy paste it.

11 years ago
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10-15 forum topics in this week. :D
Amazing post, but I guess if people really wanted to know if they're unlucky they could have checked other profiles, compare 'n stuff instead of making these kinds of threads.

11 years ago
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I could help you but if I say anything I'll get suspended

11 years ago
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Best to either contribute or join groups on steam that have giveaways where it's only a few dozen to a few hundred instead of 500-1k+. Much better odds.

11 years ago
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LMFAO

11 years ago
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Giveaways Entered365
Gifts Won3

11 years ago
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You're unlucky.

11 years ago
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I'm almost at 1100 entered and 0 wins

11 years ago
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Giveaways Entered 163

Won 2

Sorry :(

11 years ago
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Giveaways Entered 1,005
Gifts Won 4

Entirely random odds are, well .. entirely random!

11 years ago
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Giveaways Entered - 7,703
Gifts Won - 80

11 years ago
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Unlucky that you were born without the prerequisite amount of skull-stuffing to get your head around such a complex concept as the "estimated wins" figure?

I'd say life has dealt you a duff hand, amigo. I'd even go as far as saying you've been cheated. This is rotten luck indeed...

I recommend re-rolling your character and starting again.

11 years ago
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Happens that Estimated Wins is - by far - irrelevant, as you could've 100 estimated wins and 0 won. That's probability for you.

11 years ago
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But it is the perfect tool to judge whether or not you've been more or less lucky than average. Wasn't that the point of the OP?

11 years ago
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What is that link? Facepalmception?

11 years ago
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No, you're just [a word to describe a level of intelligence].

11 years ago
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Giveaways Entered - 1,473
Gifts Won - 0
Estimated Wins - 1.39
Giveaways Created - 3

11 years ago
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combo break already, just won a game after 1,224 entries. Reaching 2000, 3000 without a win seems impossible.

11 years ago
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Its quite possible, only enter ones with 7-8k entries and hope for best.

11 years ago
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just 300? i have 2000 :)

11 years ago
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Keep entering. You'll win eventually.

11 years ago
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Yeah dude, totally has to do with your luck

11 years ago
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Enter 1000 giveaways. If you dont win those entries, create a thread again.

11 years ago
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And repeat process till you win?

11 years ago
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No you not unlucky. You are just impatient

11 years ago
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Am I unlucky?

11 years ago
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Every time you touch yourself, you rack up another lost giveaway.

11 years ago
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Your not unlucky, for me it was 1000 when I got my fist SG gift

11 years ago
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Giveaways Entered 8,616 Gifts Won 17 - dunno if you are

11 years ago
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No.

11 years ago
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Closed 11 years ago by FkNomis.