The law of averages will catch up to everyone, eventually :)
Comment has been collapsed.
Until this week I was almost 9 behind haha! Now at 17 wins, ~23 est :)
Comment has been collapsed.
48/49.55 I'd rather give anyways. If I want it that bad..I just buy it. Care Bear ♥
Comment has been collapsed.
Congrats on beating the stats!
It doesn't matter whether you enter giveaways with a small or large number of people though. This has no effect on your general "luckiness" in terms of actual vs estimated wins, since your estimated wins are directly proportionate to the number of entrants (as is your chance of actually winning, obviously).
Anyway, I consider myself incredibly lucky, both in the number and quality of games won (and also very grateful!)
:)
Comment has been collapsed.
I consider myself to be extremely lucky on this site, though my ratio isn't nearly as high as yours, mine is 1.15.
I'm super happy with my 36 wins on this site (I have one unreceived)
Comment has been collapsed.
47,107 Comments - Last post 1 minute ago by bodak1988
7 Comments - Last post 28 minutes ago by herbesdeprovence
1,814 Comments - Last post 1 hour ago by moronic
43 Comments - Last post 3 hours ago by BorschtLover
58 Comments - Last post 5 hours ago by SketCZ
85 Comments - Last post 6 hours ago by WaxWorm
16,299 Comments - Last post 10 hours ago by Carenard
153 Comments - Last post 1 minute ago by Exodust
172 Comments - Last post 15 minutes ago by frycek1987
9,536 Comments - Last post 22 minutes ago by Fluffster
57 Comments - Last post 26 minutes ago by Fluffster
187 Comments - Last post 32 minutes ago by Fluffster
16,786 Comments - Last post 59 minutes ago by adam1224
26 Comments - Last post 1 hour ago by Gamy7
I've been looking around at quite a few people's Gifts Won to Estimated Win's ratios (A sample size of around 25 forum users) and nearly all of them is right around 1, or their actual wins is right about where it should be or even a bit lower.
Looking at my ratio, I have 9 wins compared to my 5.29 estimated wins - that's nearly a ratio of two, or one more win and I would have doubled my estimated wins.
None of mine were group or private giveaways with a large chance to win, nor have i ever won a developer giveaway with like 10,000 copies or something. And of course, I haven't cheated or anything.
I was just seeing how many other people are just getting lucky and have a Gift's Won to Estimated Wins ratio of nearly 2 or more. Except if you have won like 3 games and your estimated wins is 1.5, that's hardly anything.
I always see people talking about how they don't win enough or how they are way past due for a win. There are even plenty of groups for these unlucky ones. But I guess I have never felt their pain because I am doing pretty well off haha, so...
Any super lucky people out there?
Comment has been collapsed.