Calculating value of bundle games [poll]

I don't trade, so I guess potatoe?

I don't trade more than twice a year but still:
As i have found quite a few people who do not buy bundles or don't even know their existence, i rely on the price those games had on sale.

I go by bundle price + supply/demand

Other factors are how many times it's been bundled and how recently it's been bundled. Sometimes that means more than the actual Steam price of the game.

All of your factors have flaws. The final price depends on much more of them, for example how good the game is (yes, people still want to get GOOD games, not the trash).

Usually it's #3, combined with number of rebundled number (how many times game got bundled already), combined with how recently bundled, combined with reviews, combined with trading cards, and finally combined with how much the guy wants to get it, which is usually 0 factor for game collectors who do not play them, so that one can be skipped.

Depending on the trader, each one of the 5 can come into play. Bundle buyers who split them usually use #3. That's the only time I've really encountered that.

Some go for T2/BTA = T2/BTA trades meaning equal tiers in a bundle but it's usually humble bundles that are involved.

Price on steam: I've encountered that a couple of times and it's beneficial if you have a high value bundled game versus <$5 games.

Certain games will always fall into Supply/Demand even if their value via bundles is less than 1 TF2/CSGO key. ex.(Total War, Terraria, etc) These most often get a 1 key tag onto them because non-bundle buyers don't really care about other market economics. Just that it's cheap at 1 key via their perceived value.

For bundle-to-bundle trades:
1: Determine retail value. This is the game's trading value for sites such as Steamgifts (ie, CV) and so will always be relevant. It's also relevant to determine what the cost of buying the game for the person in question would be- they obviously missed it when it was on sale after all.
2: Next, determine if the game has been repeatedly bundled or in low-demand (lower the effective value), is taken off Steam or in low-trading-supply (increase the effective value), or was previously free (generally greatly reduces effective value).
3: Finally, determine the tier price for each game. If relatively similar, make no adjustment. Otherwise, calculate a deviation for tier 1 value if necessary, then subtract tier 1 value, divide the remainder, and determine effective cost paid. Adjust by relative value to other game if quality in tier is notably inconsistent.

Alternatively, just go with 'whatever you trade you feel comfortable with/don't trade if you don't feel totally okay with the offer'.

As you prefer :)

As far as I know supply/demand is mainly for removed titles and collectors. Since all other titles are on Steam and have a chance to be bundled or see deep discounts, it will be harder to explain/convince other party about supply/demand logic. But collectors know that logic very well and do not usually low ball on offers.

Value: Price of bundle tier divided by number of games heavily influenced by supply/demand

• tier x has 3 games and costs 6$
• let's start from every game is worth 2$
• but let's assume that 2 games are very old and not a lot of people are interested.
• the third game is a desiderable AAA game.
• probably 2-2-2 won't work, maybe 3-1,5-1,5 is more viable

Supply/demand is indisputable in the end (if you don't match the market, you will never get a trade done unless you basically scam people).
What determines supply/demand are the other factors. So it shouldn't really be in a poll option of it's own :P
Price on Steam is pointless, because Steam has unlimited supply, and nobody would pay Steam price for a game since they save nothing.
It's a combination of 2. 3. and 4. based on demand (pulling upwards) and lowest recorded sale/bundle price (pulling downwards).

I usually look at it from a couple of different views. First I usually check how interested I am in the game the other person is offering (I only trade my bundle leftovers for games I'm actually interested in). Then I'll look at the prices on different marketplaces (including steam and the "grey market" sites). But overall I usually decide on how much I paid for the game (so $1 tier / BTA) and wheter I really want to get rid of it or how interested I am.

Thank you for all of the feedback, folks. That is useful to me in answering the questions I began with.