About my stats

https://www.steamgifts.com/discussions/search?q=no+win

https://www.steamgifts.com/discussion/b9vbr/a-guide-to-winning-on-steamgifts-for-new-users

You should consider joining level 4+ giveaway for better chance rather than level 0 GA's. More luck there :)

Try entering GAs with lower entries. Be active in the forums and you will find a lot of invite only GAs. Region restricted GAs are also great.

Only eight wins? Sheesh, that's a nice attitude to have about eight free games you've got.

I always knew this site was a scam.

EDIT: First of all, you're entering giveaways with ~2 000 entries, your chances aren't very high. Second of all, try saying thank you to the giveaway creators when you win. I believe you're chances of winning go through the roof.

At level 4 you should be able to join some private groups with fewer then 50 entry's increasing your odds of winning drastically,my wins exploded after getting into a few good groups at one point i had won over 99 games in a two week period from these groups i had to back off my entry's to maintain my ratio lol.also like others said dont touch any GAs under level 4....

You've got a win rate of 2.4 in 1000.

Where most giveaways you entered have 1000 or more entries, with the lowest still being over 500.
If there's that many folks with the same odds of winning, do you really think your chances are very high ?

The stats run the basic probability math for you - if they say you're lucky, you bloody well are.
I suggest you be more happy about the fact that you're getting free stuff, instead of being a greedy self-entitlted dick.

Voted "somewhat bleeped over" because 3 less wins than estimated, but to be honest, I don't feel unlucky at all. Wins are just a little bonus to all the other good stuff going on in here, and they happen pretty regularly anyway.

I'm not saying that I'm not happy with what I've won, no. I'm very grateful for people, who give away games for free. What I'm saying, is that it seems like this site distributes wins not uniformly - some have greater chance of winning than others.

Statistics say that 74.8% of all people obsessed with statistics go insane. :X
and 95% of all statistics are made up 80% of the time, and an additional 44% on Fridays.

View attached image.

What...? I mean even if you feel unlucky why you would be "f*cked over"? Or believe that someone is mad at you? Do you think that since you're consider lucky by, let me add, statistics (so no one "mad" at you anywhere) you will not win another GA? It's random chance.

You're level 4, higher than me, with your lucky, i invite you join my GA: https://www.steamgifts.com/discussion/uj9BF/update-mini-train-2-lvl-2-celebrating-king-of-kings-day
Good luck again!! :)

People, I know this golden rule "Go to giveaways with less people". BUT - almost all giveaways, that I want to get in are not "with less people". And I don't want to enter small giveaways with games, that I don't need.

I have 7000 entries in 3 years, 19 won games only with contributed 100+ games to lvl 5.
Yesterday i saw guy who has 2 years reg. 79 won games and contribute totally nothing. Its luck he? :)
u have 3,3 and got 8 games i have almost 7 and got 19 games :D we are on same boat

404 entries in 3 years, 3 won games. lvl 7 :D

If you want to increase the chances for good GAs, join a group, do puzzles etc.

you are registered for 2 years, but you are using your account for 1 year, not 2

You don't join too many private/group giveaways which have a lot less entries, that is how people win games mostly. Public giveaways don't give too many wins, since they have a lot of entries. Well, there are good public giveaways, but for higher lvls, lvl 4 and lesser still have a lot of entries.

The stats are calculated by the number of entries there are in each giveaway you join. The more people that are enter into a giveaway the lower your chances are of winning (of course). Steamgifts calculates your percentage of winning in every giveaway you enter and adds them up to give an idea of how many games you should have won.

Expected Win Formula: (total number of giveaways entered) / (total average entry of all the giveaways you entered) = (the expected number of games you should win)

For example, If I entered 2000 giveaways and the total average entry per giveaway is 1000, then I'm expected to win 2 games.
(2000) / (1000) = 2

So if I were to win 3 games then I'd be considered lucky since I won 1 MORE game than expected

However if the total average entry per giveaway is 500, then I'm expected to win 4 games.
(2000) / (500) = 4

In this case, winning 3 games would mean I'm unlucky since I won 1 LESS game than expected

Your Case

You entered 3300 giveaways, and you were expected to win 4 (but won 8).
(3300) / (total average of entries in the giveaways you've participated in) = 4

This means you entered giveaways that averaged around 825 entries. (3300) / (825) = 4

With this in mind, you won 8 making you actually a very lucky person. In fact you are 200% lucky when it comes to winning games.

So I feel pretty f_cked over.

Ah, yes, because when you paid your $100 a month subscription, you were guaranteed that you'll win at least once a month, and now that it isn't so, you feel pretty f*cked over.

Oh, wait, there's no fee and no guarantees, it's a community driven service where people like you and me give away their gifts/keys to others who are RANDOMLY selected by the cronjob script from a pool of entries that can be up to 10.000 or more people.

Try entering the giveaways with less total entries (by solving puzzles for example) if you're so much into winning. TBH I think it's overrated and I like giving more, but whatever, if that's your thing, get into puzzles and private groups and stuff like that where there's 20-50 entries max.

But be warned, you can "not win" (I'm trying to avoid using the word lose, as you don't have anything so you're not losing anything, you just don't win) even if there's only 2 entries. It's random.