Welp.. Mine is inaccurate :P Entries 3,517. Won 0. Estimated Wins 4.83 <--- IF ONLY!?!? ;_;
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I've never won a giveaway that didn't require at least some contributor value. Contributing really does make the difference and really just feels good in my opinion.
Except don't take that advice because then contributor giveaways will have thousands of entries too. Nobody give anything to anybody.
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In my opinion what the winner does with their game is irrelevant. I'd like to think the people who won Bioshock or Fable from me have actually played and enjoyed the games as I have, but in the end it's not really my business. I know I personally don't play everything I win but I do have the intent to and I don't enter giveaways I have no interest in. Some people will play every game they win, some will play a few and get around to others, some just enter giveaways because fuck it, free games.
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IF NO ONE ENTERED 1k+ GIVEAWAYS THEN IT WOULDN'T REACH 1k+ AHHHHH, besides I'm in like 3 private giveaway groups the smallest entries I've had and lost is 4 :( I also do only enter for games I want, otherwise I could have won like 4 games cause of the groups I'm in.
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Giveaways Entered: 3084
Gifts Won: 3
Estimated Wins: 3.64
Oh boy :V
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Cg underestimated the power of Toaster.
Anyway, meh, I think that this feature will only bring more people complaining to forums about them not winning. 'yada yada yada my profile says I should already win a game but I didn't '. Beside that in my opinion it's rather unimportant to be shown on profile page.
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interesting, looks like at 7 wins of 8.75 expected, i'm about 1 3/4 wins behind the probabilities
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I've also won 7 games (though one was fake, so really only 6), but have a expectancy of 9.58, so you beat me.
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Gifts Won: 27
Estimated Wins: 29.77
Pretty good I think.
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Was talking to someone and noticed that a new stat appeared on the profile. Wonder how it works~
It seems like the estimated wins is how many wins you should statistically have based on your giveaway entries.
For example if you enter only 100 giveaways each with 1000 entries; your estimate would be 0.10. If you entered only 50 giveaways but each with 5 entries, you estimate would be 10.00.
Cheers! :D
Edit: It disappeared, I smell ninjas at work ._.
Edit2: It's back
Edit3: Seems like the algorithm has been updated
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