Was talking to someone and noticed that a new stat appeared on the profile. Wonder how it works~
It seems like the estimated wins is how many wins you should statistically have based on your giveaway entries.
For example if you enter only 100 giveaways each with 1000 entries; your estimate would be 0.10. If you entered only 50 giveaways but each with 5 entries, you estimate would be 10.00.
Cheers! :D
Edit: It disappeared, I smell ninjas at work ._.
Edit2: It's back
Edit3: Seems like the algorithm has been updated

11 years ago*

Comment has been collapsed.

Gifts Won: 7
Estimated Wins: 2.67

:D

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

Hmmm, Won: 30, Estimate: 42.61...
Better than expected! Damn, must be getting luckier, the odds are starting to turn in my favour! XD
(How's that calculated anyway? 42 seems way too high. Pretty sure I'm not that picky when it comes to entering giveaways with less chance if the game is good.)

Well, hopefully it'll stop roughly 5% of the people making complaint threads about not winning(fat chance on the other ones even checking)... and probably fuel complaint threads about not winning enough... yeah, we're getting some variation now, yay! :D

Wishlist is pretty much the same as it used to be... though I'm kinda surprised about some of the games still on there. I'd have expected everyone and their hamster to have Saints Row: The Third by now.

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

Wow Zlia ._. that's some horrible luck...

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

NOICE!!!

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

Somewhat unlucky. Estimated Wins: 11. Actual Wins: 7

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

36.56 estimated wins and i actually won 36 games. Hell yeah!

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

Oh hey, that's pretty cool.

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

Gifts Won: 17

Estimated Wins: 12.71

Yay.

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

I hate statistics :D

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

gifts won 3
estimated 2.31
although that third win was a day or so ago

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

this really shows when people can feel lucky or unlucky ;)
My way to determine:
(Est.wins - 1) + Est.wins / 10 < wins - unluck
(Est.wins + 1) + Est.wins /10 > wins - luck
the higher the diff etween those 2 the more lucky or unlucky you can feel ;) most people have "normal luck" (wins are between those 2 values)

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

I call hacks.

My estimated wins should be 100. Da RNG is broken.

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

nice to know i'm doing 25% luckier than average, but i'd sacrifice that anytime for some s.... love ;P

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

3.07 :| okay?..

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

excellent! keep up the good work :)

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

Gifts Won
32
Estimated Wins
28.78
so...am I lucky?

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

Yes. Stop entering giveaways!

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

But I wanna moar!

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

no D:

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

Apparently 1.85 estimated wins, but 3 actual wins. Yay I'm beating the odds!

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

Gifts Won: 3 ... Estimated Wins: 3.04 ... Giveaways Entered: 1,328 ... hmm ...

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

why are you confused?

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

Deleted

This comment was deleted 5 years ago.

11 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

Closed 11 years ago by Solnaga.