Hmmm, Won: 30, Estimate: 42.61...
Better than expected! Damn, must be getting luckier, the odds are starting to turn in my favour! XD
(How's that calculated anyway? 42 seems way too high. Pretty sure I'm not that picky when it comes to entering giveaways with less chance if the game is good.)
Well, hopefully it'll stop roughly 5% of the people making complaint threads about not winning(fat chance on the other ones even checking)... and probably fuel complaint threads about not winning enough... yeah, we're getting some variation now, yay! :D
Wishlist is pretty much the same as it used to be... though I'm kinda surprised about some of the games still on there. I'd have expected everyone and their hamster to have Saints Row: The Third by now.
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Somewhat unlucky. Estimated Wins: 11. Actual Wins: 7
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gifts won 3
estimated 2.31
although that third win was a day or so ago
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this really shows when people can feel lucky or unlucky ;)
My way to determine:
(Est.wins - 1) + Est.wins / 10 < wins - unluck
(Est.wins + 1) + Est.wins /10 > wins - luck
the higher the diff etween those 2 the more lucky or unlucky you can feel ;) most people have "normal luck" (wins are between those 2 values)
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I call hacks.
My estimated wins should be 100. Da RNG is broken.
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nice to know i'm doing 25% luckier than average, but i'd sacrifice that anytime for some s.... love ;P
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Apparently 1.85 estimated wins, but 3 actual wins. Yay I'm beating the odds!
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Was talking to someone and noticed that a new stat appeared on the profile. Wonder how it works~
It seems like the estimated wins is how many wins you should statistically have based on your giveaway entries.
For example if you enter only 100 giveaways each with 1000 entries; your estimate would be 0.10. If you entered only 50 giveaways but each with 5 entries, you estimate would be 10.00.
Cheers! :D
Edit: It disappeared, I smell ninjas at work ._.
Edit2: It's back
Edit3: Seems like the algorithm has been updated
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