Was talking to someone and noticed that a new stat appeared on the profile. Wonder how it works~
It seems like the estimated wins is how many wins you should statistically have based on your giveaway entries.
For example if you enter only 100 giveaways each with 1000 entries; your estimate would be 0.10. If you entered only 50 giveaways but each with 5 entries, you estimate would be 10.00.
Cheers! :D
Edit: It disappeared, I smell ninjas at work ._.
Edit2: It's back
Edit3: Seems like the algorithm has been updated

11 years ago*

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Geez, don't rub my nose in it :D

11 years ago
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2.87 estimate
3 wins

seems pretty accurate to me

11 years ago
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pretty cool my estimate is 15.48 i've won 17 officially (not counting ninja's and forum giveaways from commenting)

11 years ago
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Estimated Wins 5.12

11 years ago
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Sweet.

11 years ago
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Estimated wins 68.63 total wins so far 77

11 years ago
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Imma lucky bastard xD

Gifts Won
60
Estimated Wins
54.10

11 years ago
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3.58 estimated and six wins, 1.67x ahead. :)

11 years ago
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Gifts Won 235
Estimated Wins 224.92

Ok!

11 years ago
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no toaster, bad toaster. you have won too much.

11 years ago
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ja, ZU VIEL :D

Gifts Won 51

Estimated Wins 37.34

11 years ago
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What the fuck toaster.

11 years ago
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So we can blame you for where those extra wins went~ :3

11 years ago
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Estimated wins - 8.74

Games won - 9

Seems about right :p

11 years ago
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hmm Estimated Wins 3.86 <br>
I won only one, which was private giveaway with 3 entries
It seems I'm just not lucky :(

11 years ago
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1.75 estimated wins, actually won 2.

11 years ago
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Heh, I dominate probabilities in all their power.

Gifts Won 14

Estimated Wins 10.38

11 years ago
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54, 54.69. Hooray statistics!

11 years ago
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28 true wins vs 25.92 average

11 years ago
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no :O im missing 1,04 wins ! but seems pretty accurate i like it :D

11 years ago
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.08 wins. At this rate I may be able to win a Start screen for a new game! LOL

I'm surprised that I have that high of a number. I've only been here for 5 days. Maybe it's just telling me that it will be a loooooooooong time before I win anything. Since my luck at winning anything is just about zero (just ask any slot machine that knows me) it might be a generous estimate.

11 years ago
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That is because you entering to giveaways with a lot of entries and thus decreasing your chances. Entering to contributors giveaways might increase your chances.

Be generous :)

11 years ago
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t(h)anks and nice feature :)

11 years ago
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Now people will back up their posts about not winning anything with statistical proof on unluckyness to increase butthurt effect.

11 years ago
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Gifts Won 2

Estimated Wins 8.49

lol. acurate as **ck!

11 years ago
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Gifts Won: 38
Estimated Wins: 61.67

Quite a huge difference for me :)

By the way, I've won two giveaways today. The cool thing is that one of them is Deus Ex Collection. The bad thing is that the other one is Deus Ex Collection too. They are both from the same guy by the way.

11 years ago
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Omg totally rigged against you

11 years ago
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King of unlucky :o

11 years ago
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that's pretty funny :)

11 years ago
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I think you're the only one here with a wider gap than me, at least on the "losing" side. Good luck in the future, you could sure use it! :)

11 years ago
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Gifts Won: 4
Estimated Wins: 3.99

Talk about hitting the nail on the head!

11 years ago
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So according to this, i'm close to winning number 10 :D. But anyway, hooray for the wishlist

11 years ago
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Won: 46
Estimated: 53.54
Oh come on! ^_^

11 years ago
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I should've won 4.79 games instead of 8.

11 years ago
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Closed 11 years ago by Solnaga.