Your Estimated Wins vs Actual Wins: How Lucky are ya?

Entered: 4437 over 2 years

Estimated wins: 29.71

Actual wins: 32

For reference the difference between my estimated and actual wins is not statistically significant at a value of 0.05 so I can't technically call myself lucky. Even more so since one of my wins was never sent.

Giveaways Entered 12,362

Gifts Won 47

Estimated Wins 56.72

1,837 entries

15 wins

11.21 estimated wins

I am very thankful

Giveaways Entered 3,007

Gifts Won 25

Estimated Wins 27.26

Giveaways Entered : 493
Gifts Won : 2
Estimated Wins : 0.62

Giveaways Entered 6,567
Gifts Won 23
Estimated Wins 28.24

Giveaway entered: 1,287
Giveaways Won: 32
Estimated Wins: 24.72

I must say. I am a lucky man.

Giveaways Entered
2,264
Gifts Won
0
Estimated Wins
1.75

Lets see how much more longer before I get something. Probably only reason why I haven't done a giveaway yet is because I lost hope in steamgifts ahaha.

Giveaways Entered 8,261
Gifts Won 18
Estimated Wins 17.44

E: Looking around, I see those who don't enter a lot of group/private giveaways have very close wins/estimated win.

Giveaways Entered
6,873

Gifts Won
199

Estimated Wins
188.89

Giveaways Entered 2,045
Gifts Won 7
Estimated Wins 9.85

Registered: 3 months ago
Giveaways Entered: 1,670
Gifts Won: 1
Estimated Wins: 2.45

The one I won was that 10.000 copies Dwarf, so I guess I'm not lucky at all.

Registered: 4 months ago
Giveaways Entered: 2,463
Gifts Won: 1
Estimated Wins: 4.31

waiting for that big win!

Giveaways Entered 3,581
Gifts Won 16
Estimated Wins 7.83

I'm 20 wins below by estimated :(

Gifts Won 352

Estimated Wins 372.04

Registered
1 month ago
Giveaways Entered
188
Gifts Won
1 (bioshock infinite)
Estimated Wins
0.19

Giveaways Entered 1,254

Gifts Won 2

Estimated Wins 2.01

Registered 2 years ago

Giveaways Entered 14,352

Gifts Won 58

Estimated Wins 81.97

Giveaways Entered

1,518

Gifts Won
5

Estimated Wins

3.75

Giveaways Entered: 5,497

Gifts Won: 10

Estimated Wins: 9.34

Giveaways Entered - 3,151
Gifts Won - 5
Estimated Wins - 4.70
Comments - 1,175
9 games gifted.

You will win a game soon, you will see :)

I am really, really lucky. :3
Giveaways Entered: 5,069
Gifts Won: 18
Estimated Wins: 14.10

Giveaways Entered: 7.033

Estimated Wins: 11.16

Gifts Won: 16

I don't know...

I used to be spot on, but now I'm exactly 1 above my estimated wins.

Won 14
Estimate 13.00
clicky