my profiles "estimated wins ratio"

No. Its an estimate based on the chance of you winning each giveaway. If you were in a two entry giveaway, it would just up by 0.5 / 50%. Doesn't matter if you won it or not.

Estimate.

its based on the odds of what you entered....like on average based on the entries you could have won .024th of a game.

like mine is almost 2k entries(all public so odds are pretty low), estimated wins almost 4. I only won once but on average odds say I'd have probably won 3 by now...thats what estimated wins means.

like if you did a single coin flip your estimated win would be .5

if you rolled a d6 6 times estimated wins would be 1. you could have won all 6, you could have won zero, but average(based on the odds) you'd probably win one.

I'm saying it badly, but basically its just totaling up the odds(#of prizes divided by # of entries) of everything you've been in.

its just meant to give a rough idea of where you are as far as the chances i guess. or to compare how lucky you've been.(wins vs rounded estimated wins(like drop the decimal(so you're looking pretty on average with your zero wins and 0.whatever estimated wins, vs me who've been a bit unlucky. or somebody with 6 wins and 4 estimated who's beaten the odds.)))

Statistics are your friend... or maybe not... :)

I assume it was intended as a fun way to help people understand why they haven't won anything yet, but in practice it seems to be another thing for them to be confused about, i.e. where's my 0.24 of a game??? :)

That's why it's 'Estimated Wins' not actual wins.

oh okay, thanks yall! been a great help.