One week ago i noticed that on the 4th of December i will have a 100% chance of winning and until now it's still 100%. I thought winning games is random so why does it say that i will win for sure on that day?
After i "win" on that day i have 0% chance of winning for the next 10 days. So i should not bother joining any giveaways at all or what?

7 years ago

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50/50 bro.

You either win, or you don't.

For real though, it likely displays your chances at 100% because you are currently the only entrant.

7 years ago
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Yes, if your chances of winning on a given day are 0%, don't enter any giveaways that end that day, no matter how good the odds. Everybody except me should be following that common sense guideline.

7 years ago
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There must be a giveaway with only 1 entry at the moment, which is your entry.

7 years ago
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7 years ago
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Ty for the info all. As for the 100% GA it's this one https://www.steamgifts.com/giveaway/bAwit/orion-prelude

7 years ago
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7 years ago
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Not going to happen once a few thousand user join in the last 3 days of the GA.

7 years ago
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7 years ago
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Hey just want to clear this up for you 100% in the stats doesn't mean that there is a GA that has 1 entry (or lower than the number of copies). That stat that is there the % is based by adding all your chances. I had 100% days and won nothing XD
Since the change in the point system that situation that I mention is more rare (never saw it again, since this limits the number of GAs you can enter, especially when my WL is high P games) :)

7 years ago
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Is it really adding up the odds of each GA? The right way would be 1 - product of losing each GA. Are you sure there weren't last minute entries on that 100% day? Did it still show 100% on the blue line at the end of the day? Just curious.

7 years ago
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Yep, unfortunately I don't know how to see stats for past months or I would show you :D
We had a post like this a while back :)

7 years ago
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Hey Thief2K, which day ended with 100% probability of winning, where you did not win? That should never happen. The only situations that come to mind are more people entering the giveaways before they close and the probability dropping below 100%, or a user being suspended and therefore not eligible to win.

7 years ago
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Oh it was a couple of months ago I think and b4 that I found a post and a lot of old users said what I said here, and after not winning, I just guessed it was correct.
So it is wrong, strange O.o

7 years ago
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