8 years ago

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It's probability.

8 years ago
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8 years ago
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You would know if you were banned, there is no reason to suspect a bug and you are not unlucky, since 500 giveaways each with about 1k entries = it's normal you didn't win even once. To add some numbers: 500 giveaways, 1000 entries each = about 61% chance not to win anything, 500 giveaways, 500 entries each = about 37% not to win anything. Even in the second case, 37% is quite high not to be considered unlucky in most cases.

8 years ago*
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I kinda use empirical formula for this: if I want >95% of winning chance I should enter 3 times more GAs than their average entries. 4xmple, I should enter 3K GAs with 1K entries each just to have 95% chances to win at least anything. It's math "heartless bitch" statistics.

8 years ago*
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And even then, it's still only a chance. You could still win nothing, or (very unlikely) pick up 3k wins. :D

8 years ago
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Yeup, that's true. As I said I lose few weeks ago with 99% chance of winning.

8 years ago
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30 entries , 10 copyes of the game , x8 times and i got nothing .... 30/10 = 1/3 chances to win and fail ... so it's all unlucky

8 years ago
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Wow, you had like 4% of not winning XD That is indeeed unlucky.

8 years ago
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yea that's kinda me.... -_-' :D

8 years ago
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Have a hug \o/

8 years ago
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arrigato \o/ need it :D

8 years ago
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Meh. I have 99% winning chance one day in this month according to SG statistics. Guess what happened.

8 years ago
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sg statistics sucks :D ...

8 years ago
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No. It didn't lie about 100% chances :P

8 years ago
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500 giveaways entries is nothing XD

8 years ago
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No, it's mixture from argon, carbon, and hydrogen,
then put in a healthy dose of iodine..
That's how to create gibs blackhole..

8 years ago
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It's steamgifts bug

8 years ago
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8 years ago
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How much participants inside?

8 years ago
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Wow... Just wow.

8 years ago
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Enter more

/end thread

P.S. I hope you enjoyed that year...

8 years ago
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If you only entered 500 public giveaways, then it's perfectly normal. Come back when you've entered at least 5000.

8 years ago
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i enter over 10000 and win only 18 times :D and few of them are 100% sure to win

8 years ago
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8 years ago
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First win for public giveaways usually comes around 1000-1500 entries. Nowadays most publc ones doesn't seem to get lower than 500 entries on level 0, so you may need more than 2500 entries on these to get your first win.
This site is similar to the lottery. You don't expect to win on the lottery all the time either, same here.

8 years ago
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  1. Probability of winning = copies/entries -> expected_wins = sum_of_probabilities/number_of_giveaways_entered
  2. Luck
  3. Access to only level 1 giveaways with a large pool (lowers 1.)

If you entered 500 with 1000 entries each your expected wins are 0.5

You entered 3,182 so you may be a bit unlucky.
But having won Overture 3 times, I'd think you had enough wins.

8 years ago*
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Same game 3 times, hadn't seen it yet on his profile. Doesn't sg give problems with this? For the recieved thingy? As you already guessed I'm not that technical xd

8 years ago
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There's Garry's Mod too.

8 years ago
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AND a regift.

8 years ago
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I guess sharpeyez eyes were not sharp enough, He gave him/her the game thrice without checking :-)

View attached image.
8 years ago
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Dev giveaways, keys are automatically assigned.

8 years ago
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Well then he/she is out of almost 30% of the GA (SGtools) because of the multiwin and non-activated GA's

8 years ago
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View attached image.
8 years ago
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+1

Nothing more true than that! Copies/Entries = Chances of winning and that's it.

Those regifts will surely attract black lists tho

8 years ago
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I predict even worse odds for you now. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

8 years ago
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They never learn. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

8 years ago
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"Intelligence is the ability to learn from your mistakes. Wisdom is the ability to learn from the mistakes of others."

8 years ago
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True words.

8 years ago
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your profile image o.0 if that aint some ecchi hentai stuff. what is it from?

and ahahhahaha to thread OP :D

8 years ago
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Neptunia fan-art

8 years ago
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I registered 10 months ago and entered +8000 gibs (feels ashamed xD), the ones i've won are not the public gibs, but by solving puzzles, find hidden gibs, entering trains & events, ocassionaly get on someones whitelist. Those gibs usually have lesser entries and your more likely to win something. If you want to up your odds, give some goodies back and lvl up. gibs at higher lvl usually have lesser entries also. Just have fun on the site and sg-gods will start to love you

8 years ago
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HUH??? Give some goodies back and lvl up... wtf is this garbage - I only signed up to get free crap not give stuff away... the audacity!

8 years ago
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One year and only 500 giveaways? Normal to not win anything, don't worry :)

8 years ago
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Blame the Russian modifier. or its just the odds there is a possibility to never win a thing ever.(hmm wonder if there is someone like that)

8 years ago
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Pretty much all what laurens87 ^^ said and btw you have entered 3182 GAs :P

You can see how many GAs have people entered here => https://www.steamgifts.com/users/search?q=tshoiten

8 years ago
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View attached image.
8 years ago
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Isn't Spongebob supposed to be underwater? How is there a furnace there? Or a toilet? Or paper?

8 years ago
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For them there is water above water, which makes things even sillier. They are on the shore on the bottom of the ocean

8 years ago
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Look for a closed group of people who are offered in the game.
Try to offer bundles of games.
to have a chance to be at least Level 2
I did not win anything so I went for a year. Then I joined a few groups.
sry google Englis :)

8 years ago
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No closed group will allow this user entry.

8 years ago
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I entered two WL giveaways where there was only one other entry besides my own, and I lost them both (Mad Max and Dyscourse). It is all a matter of the RNG. She can be a fickle mistress when she chooses to be.

8 years ago
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I think in your particular example the giveaways were automatically canceled due to lack of participant.
I believe the minimum of entry has to be 5.

8 years ago
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Nope. Both giveaways resulted in the winners getting their games.:)

Giveaways can successfully be completed with less than 5 entries, but they just don't give any CV towards the giveaway creator (which is the reason some of them will delete their giveaway). Some people don't care about that, so they keep the giveaway up regardless of amount of entries it ends up getting.

8 years ago
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yep I can confirm this - I had one giveaway with one entry only and I still sent the gift - cause hey, they wanted it enough to enter :) - no CV given though if less than five entries I think

8 years ago
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That was nice of you to do that.:)

8 years ago
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Users can delete giveaways but they don't auto close just due to lack of entrants

8 years ago
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Minimum requirement on groups and/or invite-only giveaways are 5 if you want to earn CV. With public giveaways you'll earn CV with one entry. I have made plenty of completed giveaways in my group with less than 5 entries. Groups have different rules and requirements. But you are correct that you will not get CV with less than 5 entries unless it's public.

8 years ago
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Peopke stop winning if they didn't activate a win... No that's a joke.

8 years ago
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Peopke might, peopke are very fair, they just stop entering.

8 years ago
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I've entered 1700+ GAs before 1st win. And I heard about guy who entered 9K+ GAs without winning. Unless you enter gibs where enters equal numbers of copies you always have chances not to win anything. It's math statistics.

8 years ago
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And I don't even wanna know how many entries I have for the moment.

8 years ago
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you need to buy SG Premium

8 years ago
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Don't mind, just keep going on! I had times with no wins for days!
Try harder!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n03kKCbXhWc

8 years ago
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Participation is the issue. You are not participating in a lot of GA's. There are only 3182 Enteries. You are also LVL 1 and not raising you LVL. If you raise you LVL to atleast LVL3 you will have more chances of winning due to more possibilities.

8 years ago
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500+ ? xD
I have entered 16,050 giveaways in 9 month... (and I only enter giveaways for games I really wanna play - not every single giveaway)
So yeah, I guess you should enter more giveaways ;)

This is what you can do for better winning-chances:
Enter more giveaways.
Enter giveaways from closed (or small) groups.
If possible enter whitelist-giveaways or invite-only-giveaways
Raise your level

8 years ago*
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Start entering puzzle giveaways or trains that people post on forums.

8 years ago
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Closed 7 years ago by Deleted-8493302.